EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 12× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 17:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.28 %

Entry

1.62746

Target

1.62060 +0.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.63514 −0.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 1,126 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

09:15November 16, 2026EURBbk Executive Board Member Mauderer Speech●●○in 2 days
10:00November 16, 2026EURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous -0.5%in 2 days
10:05November 17, 2026EURZEW Economic Sentiment Indicator●●●in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.82
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.15
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.36

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought exit signals on the 30-minute chart point to a short-term pullback.
The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal.
Key support at 1.62060 is the level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bearish setup.
Given the weak signal strength, the downside may be limited unless support is broken.

The EUR/AUD pair has triggered a cluster of short-term sell signals on the 30-minute chart, including CCI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, ER Level Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, and HMA Retreat Down. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum has stalled and a pullback may be unfolding. However, the broader trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily is bullish, with the 15-minute and 8-hour charts showing solid trends, while others are forming. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish signals and the longer-term bullish bias.

The key support level to watch is 1.62060. If the price holds above this level, the pullback could be shallow and the bullish trend may resume. A break below this support would invalidate the short-term bearish setup and could signal a deeper correction. The weak strength of the signal and the bullish alignment across timeframes suggest that this is likely a counter-trend move, and traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained decline.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, WILLR, SMI) suggests momentum is fading.
▼ Cross down signals on STOCHF and ER confirm bearish momentum shift on the 30-minute chart.
▼ HMA retreat down indicates a short-term trend reversal from the recent highs.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend across higher timeframes (15m to 1d) could overpower the short-term bearish signals, leading to a shallow pullback.
▲ If the price holds above 1.62060 support, the sell signal may fail and the uptrend could resume.
▲ Weak signal strength (55% probability) suggests limited conviction; the move could be choppy.
▲ A break above the recent high would invalidate the bearish setup entirely.