EUR/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 02:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.31 %

Entry

1.58470

Target

1.56577 +1.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.59614 −0.72 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 665 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 665 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.2 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 16.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 628 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar

00:00TomorrowEUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 1h
06:50TomorrowEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 8h
07:10TomorrowEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.25
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	Short Line Bearish	candlestick	1.05
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.03
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.74

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish confluence on the 4H chart, but higher timeframes are mostly bullish, creating a conflicting outlook.
Watch the 1.59614 resistance and 1.56577 support as key decision points.
Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) and moving-average retreats all point to immediate downside pressure.
The Tweezers Top and Short Line Bearish add candlestick confirmation to the bearish case.

The 4H EUR/CAD chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and two moving-average retreats (SMA 200 and HMA), alongside a Short Line Bearish and a Tweezers Top candlestick pattern. This confluence suggests that selling pressure is building at a local top, with momentum and price action aligning to the downside. However, the broader timeframe picture remains predominantly bullish, with solid trends on the 30m, 1h, and 1d timeframes, and only the 15m and 4h showing bearish or choppy conditions. This creates a conflict: the immediate signal is bearish, but higher-timeframe trends are still pointing upward, which could limit the downside or lead to a pullback rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.59614 and support at 1.56577. A break below the support would confirm bearish continuation, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the mixed trend alignment, traders should watch for price action near these levels to gauge whether the bearish signals gain traction or fade into the prevailing bullish bias.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators firing together (BOP, STOCHF, SMA 200, HMA) increases the reliability of the bearish signal.
▼ The presence of a Tweezers Top and Short Line Bearish provides candlestick confirmation of selling pressure.
▼ The 4H timeframe shows a bearish trend (though choppy), aligning with the signal direction.
▼ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with a 100% probability, indicating high conviction in the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m, 1h, 1d) are in solid bullish trends, which could overpower the 4H bearish signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 4H trend is only choppy/sideways (1/5), suggesting limited downside momentum.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.59614 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The bullish bias across most timeframes could turn this into a mere pullback rather than a sustained downtrend.