EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.07 %
Entry
177.311
Target
176.234 +0.61 %
closes in profit
Stop
178.482 −0.66 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,802 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, KDJ Cross Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 718 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 4h
  • TomorrowEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 11h
  • TomorrowEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 11h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 15%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.83
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.77
▼ KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 1.75
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.59
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.50
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 1.07
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.82

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bearish signal cluster on the 1H chart suggests a potential pullback or reversal from recent highs.
  • Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal, but lower timeframes are still bullish.
  • Key resistance at 178.48200 is the invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish case.
  • Support at 176.23400 is the likely downside target if selling pressure continues.
The EUR/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bearish Engulfing candlestick, a Closing Marubozu, and multiple momentum indicators (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down) aligning to suggest selling pressure. The HMA Retreat Down and Keltner Upper Retreat further indicate that price is pulling back from the upper band, while the HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up adds a cyclical bullish note that may temper the bearish momentum. With an 86% probability and very strong strength, the signal points to a potential short-term reversal or pullback.

However, the trend structure is mixed: the 15m through 4h timeframes are all bullish (trend forming, 2/5), while the 12h and 1d are bearish. This means the immediate bias is bullish, but the higher timeframes support a bearish outlook. The nearest resistance at 178.48200 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Nearest support sits at 176.23400, which could be the target if the selloff gains traction. Traders should monitor whether the price can hold below resistance and whether the bullish lower timeframes lose momentum.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, KDJ) confirm bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Closing Marubozu) reinforce the signal.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trend (12H, 1D) is bearish, supporting a longer-term downside move.
  • ▼ Price retreating from the Keltner Upper band suggests a mean-reversion move lower.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are still bullish, which could stall or reverse the bearish move.
  • ▲ The HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up is a bullish signal that may counteract the bearish momentum.
  • ▲ Resistance at 178.48200 is nearby; a break above would invalidate the setup.
  • ▲ Trend strength is low (2/5) across most timeframes, indicating the trend is not firmly established, increasing the risk of choppy price action.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 15%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-10 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 178.48200 2026-11-04
S1 176.23400 2026-11-09
S2 176.15900 2026-11-06
S3 175.07300 2026-10-30

Tags

Similar Signals