EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 10:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.54 %

Entry

1.12238

Target

1.12682 +0.40 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11351 −0.79 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

06:50TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 4h
07:10TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 4h
07:20TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.94
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals on the 30M chart suggest a potential short-term bounce.
Key resistance at 1.12348 is the immediate upside target; support at 1.11351 is critical.
Higher timeframes (1H and above) are bullish, but the daily is bearish, so expect volatility.
The Bullish Harami and moving average retreats add confluence to the long setup.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and a STOCHF KD Cross Up, indicating improving buying pressure and short-term momentum. The EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Up signals suggest the price is bouncing off key moving averages, while the Bullish Harami candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal confirmation. The confluence of indicator and candlestick signals points to a potential upward move within the current 30-minute range.

Across timeframes, the trend alignment is mixed but leans bullish on the higher timeframes (1H to 12H), with the 1H showing a solid bullish trend. However, the 15M and 30M are still bearish, and the daily is solidly bearish, creating a tug-of-war. The nearest resistance at 1.12348 is the immediate upside target, while support at 1.11351 provides a floor. The strong probability (78%) and strong strength suggest the bullish bias is robust, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution.

Catalysts

▲ Strong cluster of eight bullish signals across indicator and candlestick groups.
▲ EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreats indicate the price is holding above key moving averages.
▲ Higher timeframe trends (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, supporting the 30M direction.
▲ High probability (78%) and strong signal strength increase confidence.

Risk Factors

▼ Conflicting lower timeframes (15M, 30M) are still bearish, which could delay the move.
▼ The daily timeframe is solidly bearish, a higher timeframe that may overpower the short-term signal.
▼ If price fails to break above 1.12348, the bullish case weakens and a pullback to support is possible.
▼ Momentum oscillators (STOCHF) can give false signals in choppy conditions, so watch for a reversal below the 200 MAs.