EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 19:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.01 %

Entry

1.11648

Target

1.12514 +0.78 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11351 −0.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Up, ALMA Break Up, ZLMA Break Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 736 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

15:50TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 1h
00:00TomorrowUSDFed Governor Jefferson Speech●●○in 9h
09:15November 16, 2026EURBbk Executive Board Member Mauderer Speech●●○in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.81
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.77
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.66
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.61
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.12
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.11
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.07

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple moving average breakouts on the 30M chart suggest short-term bullish momentum.
Higher timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H, 1D) are bearish, so the signal may be a counter-trend bounce.
Key resistance at 1.12514 and support at 1.11351 define the immediate range.
Wait for confirmation above resistance or watch for rejection to gauge validity.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish breakout signals, including MAMA Price Break Up, T3 Retreat Up, ALMA Break Up, HMA Break Up, and ZLMA Break Up, alongside retreat signals from the lower bands of ACCBANDS and KELTNER. These indicators collectively suggest that the short-term momentum is shifting upward, with price attempting to break above recent consolidation. However, the broader timeframe picture is predominantly bearish: the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour trends are all strongly bearish, with the daily trend also bearish. This creates a conflict between the immediate bullish signal and the larger downtrend, implying that any upside may be corrective rather than a reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.12514 and support at 1.11351. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish breakout and could extend gains, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader bearish trend. Given the mixed signals across timeframes, traders should watch for confirmation on higher timeframes before committing to long positions, as the current signal may be a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of several breakout signals (MAMA, T3, ALMA, HMA, ZLMA) strengthens the bullish case.
▲ Retreat from lower bands of ACCBANDS and KELTNER suggests oversold conditions may be reversing.
▲ The 2H and 4H trends are less bearish (trend forming and sideways), allowing room for a bounce.
▲ The signal probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, indicating high conviction from the indicator set.

Risk Factors

▼ Dominant bearish trends on 15M, 30M, 1H, and 1D argue against sustained upside.
▼ A move below the nearest support at 1.11351 would invalidate the bullish breakout.
▼ The 4H and 8H timeframes are choppy/sideways, offering no clear trend support.
▼ If price fails to clear resistance at 1.12514, the signal may fade and reverse lower.