EUR/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.50 %

Entry

1.11865

Target

1.11309 +0.50 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12731 −0.77 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 665 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 665 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +22 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

06:50TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 30m
07:10TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 50m
07:20TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	3.04
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.90
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.71
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.31
▲	Three Line Strike - Bullish	candlestick	1.31
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.11
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.04
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.04
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.02
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.02
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.94
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.85
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	0.81
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.80
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.78
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.71

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on EUR/USD 4H with 82% probability and multiple indicator confirmations.
Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are solidly bearish, but 4H is choppy and 8H/12H are still bullish, so the trend is not fully aligned.
Key support at 1.11309 is the downside target; a break below it would confirm further weakness.
Watch resistance at 1.12731; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish signal.

The EUR/USD 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down. This broad-based momentum and trend confirmation points to strong selling pressure, with the 82% probability and strong strength score reflecting high alignment across multiple indicator families. The short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are all in solid bearish trends, while the 4H itself is choppy/sideways, suggesting the current down move is part of a larger correction within a broader range. The 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, which supports the medium-term downside bias, but the 8H and 12H are still bullish and choppy, indicating that the higher-timeframe trend is not fully in sync.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12731 and support at 1.11309. A break below the nearest support would confirm continuation of the downside move, while a reclaim of the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and watch for any signs of momentum fading, especially on the 4H chart where the trend score is weak. The confluence of bearish signals across multiple indicators and timeframes strengthens the case for a continued move lower, but the conflicting higher timeframes warrant caution.

Catalysts

▼ Broad-based bearish signals across momentum, trend, and candlestick groups.
▼ Solid bearish trend on the 1D timeframe supports the medium-term downside bias.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) all show solid bearish trends, providing confluence.
▼ High probability (82%) and strong strength score indicate high conviction in the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or range-bound price action.
▲ The 8H and 12H timeframes are still bullish, potentially limiting downside or causing a reversal.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.12731 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if RSI or STOCHRSI show bullish divergence or if the DX Trend Weak signal indicates a lack of trend strength.