GBP/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.18 %
Entry
212.288
Target
213.771 +0.70 %
closes in profit
Stop
209.530 −1.30 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 665 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 665 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH OB Exit, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, SMA Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
GBP/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 4h 14%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.46
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.43
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.17
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.16
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.97
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 1.80
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.79
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.61
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.30
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.30
▲ Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 1.27

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals on the 4H chart suggest a potential recovery from oversold conditions, with an upside target at 213.77100.
  • The trend is mixed: higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, but lower timeframes are bearish and choppy, indicating a possible countertrend bounce.
  • Key levels: resistance at 213.77100 and support at 209.53000; a break above resistance confirms bullish momentum, while a break below support invalidates the signal.
  • The signal strength is strong (76% probability), but the conflicting lower-timeframe trends warrant caution and confirmation.
The GBP/JPY 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OB Exit, and STOCH OB Exit, alongside multiple EMA, MAMA, and MIDPOINT retreats up. These signals collectively suggest that the recent bearish momentum is fading and that price is beginning to recover from oversold conditions. The retreat patterns indicate that price is pulling back toward key moving averages, which often act as dynamic support in a recovering trend. The confluence of these indicators on the 4H timeframe points to a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum, with the nearest resistance at 213.77100 serving as the immediate upside target.

However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bullish, the lower timeframes (15m through 4H) remain bearish and choppy, with weak trend scores. This divergence suggests that the bullish signal is a countertrend move within a larger consolidation, rather than a strong trend reversal. The key levels to watch are the resistance at 213.77100 and support at 209.53000. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal and open the door to further downside.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish indicators firing together on the 4H timeframe, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OB Exit, and STOCH OB Exit, suggest strong momentum shift.
  • ▲ EMA, MAMA, and MIDPOINT retreats up indicate price is finding support at dynamic levels, supporting a bullish move.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, providing a potential backdrop for a reversal.
  • ▲ Nearest resistance at 213.77100 is within reach, offering a clear upside target.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are bearish and choppy, which could cap upside and lead to a failed bounce.
  • ▼ The signal may be a countertrend move within a larger consolidation, increasing the risk of a quick reversal.
  • ▼ If price loses the nearest support at 209.53000, the bullish setup is invalidated and a deeper decline could follow.
  • ▼ The strong trend scores on higher timeframes are weak (1/5), indicating a lack of conviction in the overall bullish trend.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-10 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 213.77100 2026-11-04
S1 209.53000 2026-10-28
S2 209.11700 2026-10-23
S3 208.35900 2026-10-14

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