GBP/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 06:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.13 %

Entry

1.34251

Target

1.32731 +1.13 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.35033 −0.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 665 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 665 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, BIAS Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 826 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 11h
13:30TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 11h
15:50TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 13h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.09
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.93
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.74
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.59
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.48
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bearish momentum is confirmed by multiple oscillator exits and a HMA retreat, but higher timeframes remain bullish.
The sell signal is likely a corrective pullback within a broader uptrend, so expect potential support near 1.32731.
Key invalidation level is 1.35033; a break above would negate the bearish setup.
Strength is moderate, so consider position sizing and risk management accordingly.

The 4H SELL signal on GBP/USD is driven by a cluster of momentum and oscillator exits from overbought conditions, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and KDJ OB Exit. The HMA Retreat Down and AO Zero Cross Up add nuance, suggesting the bearish push may be corrective within a broader uptrend. The signal groups (candlestick, indicator) reinforce a short-term bearish bias, with a 65% probability and moderate strength.

Across timeframes, the lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are bearish, with the 15m showing a solid trend (3/5), while higher timeframes (4h to 1d) remain bullish, albeit weaker and choppy. This divergence indicates the sell signal is likely a pullback within a larger bullish structure. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.35033 and nearest support at 1.32731. A break below support could extend the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple overbought exits (WILLR, KDJ) and momentum crosses (BOP, STOCH) on the 4H.
▼ Bearish alignment across 15m to 2h timeframes, with the 15m showing a solid trend.
▼ Price retreating from resistance, with nearest resistance at 1.35033 acting as a ceiling.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4h to 1d) are bullish, which could absorb the bearish pullback and reverse the move.
▲ The AO Zero Cross Up and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up suggest underlying buying pressure, potentially limiting downside.
▲ If price breaks above 1.35033, the bearish signal is invalidated and a continuation higher is likely.
▲ Momentum may fade if the pullback loses steam before reaching support at 1.32731.