LTC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.48 %
Entry
50.730
Target
57.040 +12.44 %
closes in profit
Stop
49.260 −2.90 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,215 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,215 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.56 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Williams %R Regular Bull Div, MACD Hist Regular Bull Div, Momentum Regular Bull Div +7 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
38.0 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +32% Swing
▲ Bullish 91 % (33.40) ▼ Bearish 9 % (3.42)
model score 10.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.3 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 39.0 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 2,222 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
LTC/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for LTC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
  • TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 11h
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 13h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 10%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Williams %R Regular Bull Div divergence 2.71
▲ MACD Hist Regular Bull Div divergence 2.29
▲ Momentum Regular Bull Div divergence 2.29
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 2.11
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.76
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.69
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.68
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.45

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful bullish momentum cluster on the 4H suggests a short-term bounce, but the higher-timeframe trend is still bearish.
  • Watch the 57.04 resistance: a break above it would confirm bullish strength and could shift the trend.
  • The 49.26 support is critical; losing it invalidates the bullish signal and likely resumes the downtrend.
  • This is a counter-trend signal, so position sizing and risk management are key.
The 4H LTC/USDT signal is a strong bullish confluence, firing a cluster of momentum oscillators (CCI OS Exit, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH, QSTICK) and a MACD Histogram regular bullish divergence. This suggests that downside momentum is exhausting and a reversal attempt is underway. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes (1H to 1D) remains bearish and solid, so this signal should be viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, not a confirmed reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 57.04 and support at 49.26. A break above resistance would signal strengthening bullish momentum and potentially shift the higher-timeframe trend, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the dominant downtrend. The bullish signal is strongest on the 4H, but the conflicting higher-timeframe trend argues for caution.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH, QSTICK) all fired bullish at the same time, indicating strong short-term buying pressure.
  • ▲ MACD Histogram regular bullish divergence suggests that downside momentum is waning.
  • ▲ Price is retreating from the lower Bollinger Band, often a sign of oversold conditions and a potential reversal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant trend across 1H to 1D timeframes is bearish, so the bullish signal may be a temporary counter-trend move.
  • ▼ If the price fails to break above 57.04, the bounce could stall and reverse lower.
  • ▼ A break below 49.26 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger further downside.
  • ▼ The 15M timeframe is choppy, indicating a lack of clear short-term direction.
Symbol LTC/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 10%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-10 20:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 57.04000 2026-11-04
R2 59.85000 2026-10-28
R3 62.39000 2026-10-21
S1 49.26000 2026-11-08

Tags

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