LUNC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-10 20:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −2.79 %

Entry

0.00003906

Target

0.00004243 +8.63 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00003750 −3.99 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,215 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,215 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.56 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Hist Regular Bull Div, Momentum Regular Bull Div, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.0 % ↑ +3.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 93 % (21.26) ▼ Bearish 7 % (1.59)

model score 13.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 43.8 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 4,687 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 10h
17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 12h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Hist Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.68
▲	Momentum Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.67
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.42
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.05
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.45
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.33
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	0.76
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.64

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bullish signal cluster fired on the 4H, but it's a counter-trend move inside a strong downtrend.
All timeframes are bearish, with the 12H extremely bearish—this bounce may be short-lived.
The 0.00004 level is both nearest support and resistance, making it the key pivot to watch.
A break above 0.00004 could extend the bounce; a rejection likely resumes the downtrend.

The 4H chart for LUN/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and an AO Saucer Bullish. The breadth of the signal set—spanning momentum, trend, and candlestick groups—suggests a coordinated shift in short-term price dynamics. However, this bullish impulse is firing against a deeply bearish backdrop: every timeframe from 15 minutes to 1 day is trending down, with the 12H showing an extremely strong downtrend (5/5). The signal is best interpreted as a potential counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, not a reversal.

Key levels are tightly clustered: both nearest resistance and support sit at 0.00004, indicating a high-probability pivot zone. A decisive break above this level could open the door to a stronger retracement, while a rejection would likely resume the prevailing bearish momentum. Traders should watch price action at this level closely, as the confluence of support/resistance and the conflicting trend structure makes it a critical decision point. The signal's strength is high, but its sustainability is questionable without confirmation from higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▲ Dense cluster of 13 bullish signals across momentum, trend, and candlestick groups.
▲ Momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, STOCH) all crossing up simultaneously, suggesting strong short-term buying pressure.
▲ AO Saucer Bullish and Ichimoku TK Cross Up add trend-confirmation elements.
▲ Price sitting at a key support/resistance level, providing a clear technical battleground.

Risk Factors

▼ Overwhelming bearish trend across all timeframes, with 12H at extreme strength—counter-trend signals often fail.
▼ Nearest resistance at 0.00004 is also the nearest support, meaning the level may act as a ceiling rather than a springboard.
▼ The signal is on a 4H timeframe, but higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are all strongly bearish, reducing the odds of a sustained move.
▼ Watch for a failure to hold above 0.00004; a drop back below would invalidate the bullish setup quickly.