NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.16 %
Entry
0.55900
Target
0.55274 +1.12 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.56581 −1.22 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,845 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,845 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
NZD/USD  ·  1H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 3h
  • TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 3h
  • TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 91%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA 50 Break Down indicator 2.77
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.61
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.54
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.41
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.33
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.29
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.27
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.23
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.00
▼ APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.73
▼ TSI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.68
▼ MACD Zero Cross Down indicator 1.62
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.58
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.53

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 1H with multiple indicator retreats and zero-cross signals.
  • Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are aligned bearish, reinforcing the sell signal.
  • Key support at 0.55274 is the immediate downside objective; resistance at 0.56581 is the invalidation zone.
  • Higher timeframes (4h/8h) remain bullish, so watch for potential counter-trend moves.
The NZD/USD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including APO Zero Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) plus a trendline retreat. This confluence indicates strong downside momentum on the intraday timeframe, with a very strong signal strength and a 95% probability rating. The alignment across lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) is solidly bearish, while the 2h and 12h are also turning bearish, suggesting the selling pressure is building from multiple horizons.

However, the higher timeframes (4h and 8h) remain bullish but choppy, which could act as a counter-trend force. The nearest support at 0.55274 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 0.56581 is the level to watch for any rebound. The trend scores show a clear bearish tilt on the daily, but the 4h/8h conflict warrants caution. Overall, the signal favors continued downside, but traders should monitor the higher-timeframe bullish bias for potential trend reversal signals.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) confirm downside momentum.
  • ▼ APO and MACD zero-cross downs signal bearish momentum shift.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 12h supports the sell bias.
  • ▼ Strong signal strength (95% probability) and very strong rating add conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframe (4h/8h) bullish bias could trigger a bounce, invalidating the short-term bearish setup.
  • ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.56581, the sell signal loses validity.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the trend scores on lower timeframes weaken, reducing follow-through.
  • ▲ Choppy conditions on 4h/8h may lead to false breakdowns or whipsaws.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 91%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.56581 2026-11-05
S1 0.55274 2026-11-06

Tags

Similar Signals