NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 12× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 16:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.28 %

Entry

0.55900

Target

0.56496 +1.07 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55380 −0.93 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 736 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 3h
13:30TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 3h
15:50TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.08
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.93
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce within a broader bearish trend.
Higher timeframes are mostly bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move unless resistance breaks.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.56496 and support at 0.55380 for direction.
The signal cluster is strong, but the bearish daily trend caps upside potential.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, and a Bullish Harami Cross with a Long Legged Doji. These signals suggest a short-term bounce or reversal attempt within a broader bearish trend. The higher timeframe trend is predominantly bearish, with solid trends on the 30-minute, 1-hour, and daily charts, while the 4-hour and 8-hour charts show choppy, sideways action. This mixed picture implies that the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend move rather than a full reversal, and traders should treat any upside as corrective.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.56496 and support at 0.55380. A break above resistance could signal a stronger bullish shift, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish setup. The confluence of candlestick and indicator signals adds weight to the bounce, but the bearish higher timeframe alignment argues for caution. The 82% probability and strong strength score suggest a high-confidence signal, yet the trend context tempers the outlook.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously (BOP, STOCH, HMA, candlestick patterns) indicate strong short-term momentum.
▲ The 4-hour and 8-hour charts show bullish bias, albeit choppy, providing some higher-timeframe support.
▲ The signal strength is rated 'strong' with an 82% probability, suggesting high confidence in the setup.
▲ The Long Legged Doji and Bullish Harami Cross often mark potential reversal zones after a downtrend.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, and daily timeframes could overpower the bullish signal.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.55380 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside.
▼ The 4-hour and 8-hour trends are choppy, which may lead to false signals or sideways price action.
▼ If the bullish bounce fails to reach resistance, momentum could fade quickly, leading to a resumption of the downtrend.