USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 21:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.00 %

Entry

1.41163

Target

1.40775 +0.27 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.41779 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TSI Signal Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 596 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowCADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.47
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30M chart shows a dense bearish signal cluster, but the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) remain bullish, so treat this as a pullback, not a reversal.
Watch the 1.40775 support: a break below it would confirm the bearish move; a bounce could see price retest resistance.
The 1.41367 resistance is the key invalidation level—if price reclaims it, the sell signal is void.
The signal is very strong on the 30M, but with conflicting trend alignment, position sizing should reflect the higher risk of a reversal.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE). The breadth of signals across oscillators, bands, and trend-following indicators points to strong short-term selling pressure, with the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adding a cyclical momentum twist. However, this bearish alignment is confined to the 30-minute timeframe and is contradicted by the broader trend: the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes all show solid bullish trends, while the 15M and higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are only in early trend formation. This suggests the sell signal may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.41367 and support at 1.40775. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader bullish trend. Given the very strong signal strength (86% probability) but the conflicting higher-timeframe trend, traders should treat this as a scalp-level opportunity, not a trend-change signal. The invalidation level is the 1.41367 resistance; if price closes above it, the bearish thesis is void.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all aligned bearish on the 30M chart.
▼ Very strong signal strength (86% probability) and a dense cluster of signals from both candlestick and indicator groups.
▼ The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds a cyclical momentum component that may support short-term downside.
▼ Nearest support at 1.40775 is close, providing a clear target if bearish momentum persists.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H, 2H, and 4H trends are solidly bullish, which could overwhelm the 30M bearish signal and trigger a bounce.
▲ The 15M trend is only 'trend forming' and not fully bearish, so the short-term momentum may be less reliable.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.41367 resistance, the signal is invalidated and the broader uptrend likely resumes.
▲ The signal is based on a single timeframe; without confirmation from higher timeframes, the move could be shallow and short-lived.