USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 8× UPDATED

2026-11-10 16:30 UTC 7 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %

Entry

1.41974

Target

1.41054 +0.65 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.42593 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 14 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (14.32)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 15 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowCADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.65
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.42
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.06
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a pullback within a broader bullish trend.
Higher timeframes (30m to 4h) show solid bullish trends, so the sell is likely corrective.
Key support at 1.41054 is the critical level to monitor for invalidation or continuation.
Signal strength is weak, so expect limited downside unless momentum accelerates.

The SELL signal on USD/CAD at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of momentum and candlestick indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, HMA Retreat Down, and a Bearish Engulfing pattern. These signals collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum is stalling and that a short-term pullback may be underway. However, the signal's weak strength and moderate probability indicate that this is not a high-confidence reversal signal, but rather a tactical opportunity within a broader uptrend.

Across higher timeframes, the trend remains firmly bullish, with solid trend scores on the 30-minute through 4-hour charts and forming bullish trends on the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes. This alignment suggests that any downside move is likely corrective in nature rather than the start of a major reversal. The nearest support at 1.41054 is a key level to watch; a break below this level would invalidate the bearish signal and could signal a deeper correction. Conversely, if the pair holds above this support, the pullback may offer a buying opportunity in line with the larger bullish trend.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum and candlestick signals (BOP, CMO, STOCH, KDJ, HMA, Bearish Engulfing) pointing to short-term exhaustion.
▼ Bearish Engulfing and Long Line Bearish patterns confirm selling pressure at the recent highs.
▼ The pullback may find support at the nearest support level, aligning with the broader bullish trend.

Risk Factors

▲ The overall trend across all timeframes is bullish, so the sell signal could be quickly overridden by buyers.
▲ Weak signal strength and only 55% probability reduce confidence in the move.
▲ A break above the recent high would invalidate the bearish setup, and a break below 1.41054 would signal a deeper correction.
▲ Momentum indicators (CMO, KDJ) are overbought but could stay overbought in a strong uptrend, delaying the pullback.