USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.08 %
Entry
0.82436
Target
0.81740 +0.84 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82836 −0.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, KDJ OB Entry, BOP Zero Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 736 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 5h
  • TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 5h
  • TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 19%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.57
▼ KDJ OB Entry indicator 1.26
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.23
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 1.01
▼ STC OB Entry indicator 1.00
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 0.96
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.96
▼ Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 0.81

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with 78% probability and strong strength.
  • Lower timeframes are still bullish but weakening, while higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are already bearish.
  • Immediate downside focus is support at 0.81740; a break confirms the bearish reversal.
  • Candlestick and indicator confluence (BOP, PHASOR, KDJ, STC, HMA, and bearish patterns) reinforces the sell bias.
The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, KDJ and STC overbought entries, a HMA Retreat Down, and a suite of bearish candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line, Bearish Harami Cross). This confluence indicates a strong short-term momentum shift to the downside, with the probability of continuation assessed at 78% and strong signal strength. The bearish case is supported by the 12-hour and daily timeframes already showing bearish trends, while the lower timeframes (15m to 8h) are still bullish but with weakening trend scores, suggesting the bullish momentum is fading and a reversal is likely.

Key levels to watch: the nearest support sits at 0.81740, which is the immediate downside target. If price breaks below this level, it would confirm the bearish reversal and open the path for further declines. However, the absence of a defined nearest resistance means that any bounce could face unclear overhead levels, adding uncertainty. Traders should monitor the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes for a break of the recent swing low or a failure to hold below support, which would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, PHASOR, KDJ, STC, HMA) and candlestick patterns.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends on 12-hour and daily align with the short-term sell signal.
  • ▼ Overbought conditions on KDJ and STC suggest room for downside correction.
  • ▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (78%) increase confidence in the move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m-8h) remain bullish, which could limit downside momentum or cause a bounce.
  • ▲ No defined nearest resistance means overhead levels are unclear, potentially leading to erratic price action.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below 0.81740 and instead forms a higher low, the bearish setup could be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the 30-minute trend score (2/5) fails to confirm a full reversal.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 19%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-10 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 0.81740 2026-11-10
S2 0.81728 2026-11-09
S3 0.81326 2026-11-05

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