USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.09 %
Entry
158.679
Target
159.250 +0.36 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.669 −0.64 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,845 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,845 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Break Up, HMA Break Up, MIDPRICE Break Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 5h
  • TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 5h
  • TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 83%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 2.81
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.79
▲ MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 2.65
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.62
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.62
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.52
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.39
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.36
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.30
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.29
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.29
▲ KST Zero Cross Up indicator 1.95
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.75
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.60
▼ RSI OB Entry indicator 1.11
▼ RSX OB Entry indicator 0.80

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence on the 1H timeframe with multiple moving averages and breakouts.
  • Immediate upside target is the nearest resistance at 158.768.
  • Higher timeframes (8H to 1D) are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend rally.
  • Watch the support at 157.669 as the invalidation level for the bullish setup.
The USD/JPY 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including RSI overbought entry, DEMA/EMA/KAMA/MA retreats up, and breakouts above the midpoint and MAMA price. This confluence suggests strong upward momentum in the near term, with the price likely to continue its advance toward the nearest resistance at 158.768. The signal's high probability and very strong strength reflect the alignment of multiple trend-following indicators on the 1H timeframe, though the shorter timeframes (15m and 30m) also show bullish trends, supporting the immediate upside bias.

However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, and 1D) remain bearish, which introduces a potential conflict. The 1H and 4H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating that the bullish move may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest support at 157.669 is a key level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor price action near the resistance level for signs of rejection, as the overbought RSI suggests the move could be overextended in the short term.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple moving average retreats up (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) indicate strong trend alignment on the 1H.
  • ▲ Breakouts above the midpoint and MAMA price confirm upward momentum.
  • ▲ Shorter timeframes (15m and 30m) are bullish, supporting the immediate move.
  • ▲ High signal probability (96%) and very strong strength suggest high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ The 1H and 4H trends are choppy/sideways, reducing trend reliability.
  • ▼ RSI is overbought, increasing the risk of a pullback or reversal.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.669 would invalidate the bullish signal.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 83%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-11-10 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.76800 2026-11-03
S1 157.66900 2026-11-09
S2 157.25500 2026-11-06
S3 156.96200 2026-10-30

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