USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED
4 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
158.069
Target
158.543 +0.30 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.669 −0.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: CCI Zero Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up +17 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 97 % (43.46) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.19)
model score 97.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 9 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 596 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3h
  • TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3h
  • TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 30m 97%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 2.00
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.92
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.87
▲ DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.87
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.79
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.73
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.69
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.61
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.48
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.43
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.40
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.15
▲ Marubozu Bullish candlestick 1.10

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful cluster of 8+ momentum oscillators just flipped bullish on the 30-minute chart, indicating strong short-term upward pressure.
  • The bullish signal is counter-trend: all higher timeframes remain bearish, so this is a bounce, not a reversal.
  • Immediate resistance at 158.12200 is the key upside hurdle; support at 157.66900 is the line in the sand for the long.
  • Expect choppy price action given weak trend scores across timeframes—momentum can fade quickly.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including BOP, CCI, CMO, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, and RSI all crossing their zero or signal lines upward. The breadth of oscillators aligning suggests a strong short-term push higher, with the 92% probability and very strong strength reflecting high conviction in the move. However, the broader context remains bearish across all higher timeframes, with the 1h and 2h showing trend formation but still negative. This creates a classic counter-trend bounce scenario: the short-term momentum is bullish, but it faces overhead resistance and a dominant downtrend.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 158.12200 and support at 157.66900. A break above resistance would signal that the bounce has legs, potentially shifting the short-term bias further bullish. Conversely, a failure at resistance or a move back below support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish structure, using tight risk management and watching for signs of momentum fading near resistance.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) crossing zero/signal lines simultaneously—a rare confluence of momentum signals.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (92% probability) suggests high conviction among the automated system.
  • ▲ The signal includes candlestick patterns, adding a price-action confirmation to the indicator cluster.
  • ▲ Proximity to support at 157.66900 provides a defined risk level for the long setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant trend across all higher timeframes (15m to 1d) is bearish, so the bullish signal is counter-trend and vulnerable to reversal.
  • ▼ Resistance at 158.12200 is a major barrier; failure to break above it could trigger a sharp selloff.
  • ▼ Trend scores are weak (mostly 1/5), indicating choppy, non-trending conditions that can produce false signals.
  • ▼ A break below 157.66900 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate the downtrend.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 05:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.12200 2026-11-10
R2 158.18900 2026-11-09
R3 158.54300 2026-11-06
S1 157.66900 2026-11-09
S2 157.25500 2026-11-06

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