USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-11-10 06:00 UTC 3 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

158.044

Target

157.669 +0.24 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.543 −0.32 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, SMA 200 Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping

▲ Bullish 5 % (2.85) ▼ Bearish 95 % (49.78)

model score 2.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 06:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	2.07
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.00
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.77
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	TSI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.23
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.06

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with high probability and strength.
Multiple indicators and pattern groups align in the same direction, increasing confidence.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, though momentum is choppy and weak on higher frames.
Watch the nearest support at 157.66900; a break could open further downside, while resistance at 158.12200 is the invalidation zone.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is strongly bearish, with a 79% probability and strong strength. The confluence of multiple indicator groups—candlestick, fibonacci, and indicator—reinforces the bearish outlook. Notably, the BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Up, and EMA/SMA 200 Retreat Down all point to selling pressure, while the HT PHASOR and HT SINE Cross Downs add cyclical confirmation. The AO Zero Cross Up and CTI OS Exit suggest a potential momentum shift, but the overall bias remains to the downside.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, though choppy and sideways on most frames. The 1-hour and 2-hour charts show a forming downtrend (2/5 strength), while higher timeframes remain bearish but weak. This alignment supports the sell signal, but the lack of strong trend momentum on higher timeframes may limit downside follow-through. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.12200 and support at 157.66900. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of BOP, MACD, EMA/SMA 200, and HT indicators all pointing lower.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with 1H and 2H forming a downtrend.
▼ Fibonacci and candlestick patterns add additional confluence to the sell signal.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (79%) suggest robust bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy and sideways conditions on most timeframes could lead to false breakouts or range-bound movement.
▲ A reclaim of the 158.12200 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Higher timeframe trends are weak (1/5 strength), indicating limited downside momentum and potential for consolidation.
▲ The AO Zero Cross Up and CTI OS Exit hint at possible short-term buying pressure that could stall the decline.