AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-11 00:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.31 %

Entry

109.135

Target

109.474 +0.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.237 −0.82 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,845 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,845 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 736 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.55
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.50
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.66
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.60
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	0.99

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term momentum is turning bullish, but the higher timeframe trend remains bearish.
Watch the 109.47400 resistance as the immediate upside target—a break could signal a stronger reversal.
The 108.23700 support is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signal.
Treat this as a counter-trend bounce unless higher timeframes shift to bullish.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including CCI Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, and RSI Midline Cross Up, alongside a weak DX trend reading. This suggests that short-term momentum is turning upward and that the immediate bias is for a bounce. However, the overall trend structure remains bearish across higher timeframes, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H all showing solid downtrends. The lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are bullish but choppy, indicating that the current upward push may be corrective rather than a full trend reversal.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 109.47400 as the key upside barrier; a break above this level could signal a stronger reversal, while failure to hold above it would reinforce the prevailing downtrend. The nearest support at 108.23700 is the critical downside level—losing this would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the broader bearish move. Given the conflicting timeframes, this signal should be treated as a counter-trend opportunity with limited upside potential unless higher timeframe confirmation emerges.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (CCI, CMO, MACD, RSI) have crossed upward, indicating strong short-term buying pressure.
▲ The weak DX trend reading suggests that the current bearish trend lacks strength, potentially allowing for a bounce.
▲ The lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are bullish, aligning with the 1H signal for a short-term upside move.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are in solid downtrends, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish momentum.
▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are still bearish, suggesting the bounce may be corrective and limited.
▼ If price fails to break above 109.47400, the bullish signal could fade quickly.
▼ A break below 108.23700 would invalidate the signal and likely resume the downtrend.