AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-11 04:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.26 %

Entry

109.193

Target

108.676 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.474 −0.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,845 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,845 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Retreat Down, DPO Zero Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.25
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.09
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	2.06
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.03
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.95
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.71
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.64
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.13

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bearish momentum signals (BOP, CCI, WILLR, DPO) has fired on the 1H chart, pointing to fading buying pressure.
Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are bearish, aligning with the 1H sell signal and suggesting the downtrend may continue.
Watch the nearest support at 108.67600; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a move above 109.47400 would invalidate the setup.
The signal is moderate strength (68% probability), so traders should manage risk and watch for confirmation.

The 1H AUD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI and Williams %R exits from overbought territory, and a DPO Zero Cross Down. These momentum and volume-flow indicators align to suggest that buying pressure is fading and that a downward correction or reversal may be underway. The presence of HMA Retreat Down and additional candlestick signals reinforces the bearish short-term bias, although the lower-timeframe trends (15m, 30m) remain mildly bullish, indicating that the sell signal may be early relative to the immediate trend.

The broader trend structure supports the bearish case: the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are all bearish, with solid trend scores on the higher timeframes (3/5). This alignment suggests that the current 1H bearish signal is likely part of a larger downtrend, and any pullback to the upside may be limited. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 109.47400, which could act as a ceiling if price retraces, and the nearest support at 108.67600, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a sustained move above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Alignment of bearish trends across multiple timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) with solid trend scores.
▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, WILLR) suggesting momentum is turning down.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is overtaking buying pressure.
▼ HMA Retreat Down and additional candlestick signals reinforce the bearish short-term bias.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce before the downtrend resumes.
▲ The 1H trend itself is currently bullish (choppy/sideways), so the sell signal may be premature if price continues to grind higher.
▲ A move above the nearest resistance at 109.47400 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The signal strength is only moderate, so the probability of the move playing out is not extremely high.