AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL With the trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-11 02:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.25 %

Entry

109.261

Target

108.237 +0.94 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.303 −1.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,153 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,153 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.42 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.22 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.24 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, VIDYA Retreat Down, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 41,828 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 1h
23:50TodayJPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 1h
23:50TodayJPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.30
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.93
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.91
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.66

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is confirmed by multiple oscillators and a trend-following Ichimoku cross on the 2H chart.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are all in solid downtrends, aligning with the 2H sell signal.
Watch the 109.47400 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish case.
The nearest support at 108.23700 is the first likely downside target.

The 2H SELL signal on AUD/JPY is supported by a broad cluster of bearish momentum oscillators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and an EMA 50 retreat. The Ichimoku TK Cross Down adds a trend-confirmation element, while the AO and ERI cross signals reinforce the bearish momentum shift. The signal aligns with a clear bearish trend across the 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, each showing a solid trend score of 3/5, suggesting that the higher-timeframe bias is firmly lower. The 2H itself is in a trend-forming phase, which may indicate the start of a new leg down.

Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) remain bullish but are choppy or only weakly trending, which could offer short-term pullbacks that provide better entry levels for sellers. The nearest resistance at 109.47400 is the immediate barrier to the upside; a break above that would invalidate the bearish setup. On the downside, the nearest support at 108.23700 is the first target zone. The moderate strength and 74% probability suggest a tradable opportunity, but traders should confirm price action near resistance and manage risk tightly given the mixed lower-timeframe signals.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of bearish trends across 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes.
▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, AO, ERI) all signaling downside pressure.
▼ Ichimoku TK Cross Down adds trend-confirmation, increasing signal reliability.
▼ EMA 50 retreat indicates dynamic resistance is holding and pushing price lower.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish, which could lead to short-term bounce or consolidation before further downside.
▲ The 2H trend is only 'forming' (2/5 strength), so the bearish momentum could fade if price fails to break below support.
▲ A break above 109.47400 resistance would invalidate the sell setup and could trigger a stronger rally.
▲ The choppy/weak trend on the 1D timeframe suggests that the broader daily picture is not strongly bearish, which may limit the downside potential.