AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 02:00 UTC 15 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

0.68804

Target

0.68436 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69301 −0.72 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 33 % (7.43) ▼ Bearish 67 % (14.86)

model score 66.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.63
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.40
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.40
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.27

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is confirmed by multiple oscillators and moving average retreats on the 30M chart.
Longer timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H) are in solid downtrends, supporting the sell bias.
Watch the 0.69301 resistance for a potential entry; a break below 0.68436 would open further downside.
Short-term 15M/30M bullish signals may cause a bounce, so patience for confirmation is key.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and exits from overbought conditions on the ULTOSC and WILLR indicators. The EMA 50 and SMA 50 retreats confirm that price is pulling back from resistance, while the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down add a cyclical and efficiency dimension to the downside bias. With a 66% probability and moderate strength, the signal suggests a continuation of the broader bearish trend rather than a reversal.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is strongest on the 1H, 4H, and 8H charts, all showing solid trends (3/5), while the 15M and 30M are still in early bullish formation (2/5), indicating a potential short-term bounce before the larger downtrend resumes. The nearest resistance at 0.69301 aligns with the EMA/SMA retreats, and the nearest support at 0.68436 provides the next downside target. Traders should watch for a rejection at resistance and a break below the recent swing low to confirm the bearish momentum.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 10+ bearish signals across momentum, trend, and cycle indicators.
▼ Solid bearish trends on higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H) align with the 30M signal.
▼ Resistance at 0.69301 is reinforced by EMA/SMA retreats, creating a strong supply zone.
▼ Overbought exits on ULTOSC and WILLR suggest exhaustion of buying pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M and 30M are still in early bullish formation, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the trade.
▲ A break above the 0.69301 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could shift momentum.
▲ The 66% probability and moderate strength indicate the signal is not high-conviction; momentum could fade quickly.
▲ Watch for conflicting signals on the 2H timeframe, which is only a forming bearish trend, potentially slowing the move.