AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-11 03:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −1.56 %

Entry

8.4450

Target

8.0680 +4.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.7470 −3.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 15,050 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 15,050 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.7 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 26.9 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 3,384 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 5h
13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 4 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.45
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.24
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.19
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.09
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals fired on the 30-minute chart, including BOP, CCI, STOCHRSI, and BBANDS, indicating strong selling pressure.
The 30-minute trend is still bullish but weakening, while higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, supporting the sell signal.
Key levels: resistance at 8.45900 and support at 8.06800; a break below support confirms the bearish move.
The signal has a high probability (83%) and strong strength, but watch for a reclaim of resistance as an invalidation.

The AVA/USDT 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, HMA Direction Down, and TTM TREND Trend Down, alongside additional candlestick and indicator confirmations. This confluence points to a sharp loss of upside momentum after a recent push, with the price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and momentum oscillators rolling over from overbought territory. The immediate trend on the 30-minute timeframe is still labeled bullish but weakening, while the broader structure shows bearish pressure on the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes, suggesting this sell signal may be the start of a larger corrective move.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 8.45900 and support at 8.06800. A break below the support would confirm the bearish reversal and open the door to further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal. The alignment of multiple oscillators and trend-following indicators on the 30-minute chart, combined with the bearish higher-timeframe backdrop, gives the sell signal a strong probability. However, the conflicting bullish signals on the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes introduce some uncertainty, so traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCHRSI, BBANDS, HMA, TTM) on the 30-minute chart.
▼ Bearish trend on higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) aligns with the sell signal.
▼ Price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band suggests overbought conditions are unwinding.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (83%) increase the likelihood of the move playing out.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or sideways consolidation before the downside resumes.
▲ If the price reclaims the resistance at 8.45900, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price holds above support at 8.06800 for an extended period, leading to a range-bound market.
▲ The 30-minute trend is still labeled bullish, so the sell signal may be a counter-trend move that could fail if higher-timeframe buyers step in.