EUR/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-11 14:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.52 %

Entry

1.10928

Target

1.10349 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12731 −1.63 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 695 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 695 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.32 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.34 % 16 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, T3 Break Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

09:15TomorrowEURBbk Executive Board Member Mauderer Speech●●○in 1 day
10:00TomorrowUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 1 day
10:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous -0.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.11
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.05
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▼	TRIX Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	0.60

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is strong across most timeframes, with the 30m and 1h showing the strongest trends.
The 4H trend is still forming, so the signal is more aggressive; watch for confirmation on higher timeframes.
Key resistance at 1.12731 is the invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish outlook.
Despite the bearish bias, oversold RSI and a STOCHF cross up hint at possible short-term bounce risk.

The 4H EUR/USD signal is a confluence of multiple bearish momentum indicators: RSI in oversold territory with an STOCHF KD cross up suggests a potential short-term bounce, but the dominant bearish alignment across TRIX, DEMA, EMA, and trendline retreats points to continued downside pressure. The trend is consistently bearish from the 15-minute up to the 1-day timeframe, with the strongest momentum on the 30-minute and 1-hour charts, while the 4-hour trend is still forming. This suggests that the immediate bearish move is well-supported by lower timeframes, but the lack of a fully established 4H trend warrants caution. The nearest resistance at 1.12731 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. With no defined support below, the downside could be open, but traders should monitor for any reversal signals if price approaches that resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat signals (HT TRENDLINE, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) confirm the bearish trend.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 1h timeframes adds confluence to the sell signal.
▼ The 1-day trend is solidly bearish, supporting the longer-term direction.
▼ High probability (87%) and very strong strength indicate high confidence in the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H trend is only forming (2/5), so the signal may be early; a pause or reversal could occur.
▲ Oversold RSI and a STOCHF cross up suggest a potential bounce, which could stall the decline.
▲ Resistance at 1.12731 is close, and a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy, indicating a lack of clear trend and possible whipsaw.