NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 01:00 UTC 13 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

0.56100

Target

0.56496 +0.71 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55274 −1.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +9% Intraday

▲ Bullish 88 % (19.86) ▼ Bearish 12 % (2.71)

model score 88.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 596 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

21:45TodayNZDElectronic Card Retail Sales m/m●●○in 19h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	2.28
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.58
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.32
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.29
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.25
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.12
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 1H bullish momentum cluster suggests a short-term bounce in NZD/USD.
Golden Cross on SMA 50/200 adds a bullish structural signal on the 1H.
Broader trend remains bearish; this is a counter-trend move within a downtrend.
Key resistance at 0.56496, support at 0.55274 - watch for a break or rejection.

The NZD/USD 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, and STOCH KD Cross Up, alongside a Golden Cross on the SMA 50/200. This suggests a strong short-term buying impulse is developing, with the DX Trend Weak reading indicating the bearish dollar trend is losing steam. The MAMA PRICE Retreat Up adds a mean-reversion flavor, hinting that price may be bouncing from oversold conditions.

However, the broader picture remains bearish across all higher timeframes, with the 1D and 30M showing solid downtrends. The 1H signal is therefore a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The immediate resistance at 0.56496 is the key hurdle; a break above would signal a stronger reversal, while failure could see price fall back toward support at 0.55274. The bullish momentum is strong on the 1H, but traders should treat this as a tactical long within a bearish context, watching for rejection at resistance or a loss of momentum.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH) all crossing up in sync.
▲ Golden Cross on SMA 50/200 aligns with the bullish momentum cluster.
▲ DX Trend Weak suggests the dollar's strength is fading, supporting NZD upside.
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicates a potential mean-reversion bounce from oversold conditions.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1D, 30M) are in solid downtrends, which could overpower the 1H bounce.
▼ Resistance at 0.56496 is a nearby barrier; a failure to break could invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ The 1H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the bounce may lack follow-through.
▼ If price breaks below the recent swing low or support at 0.55274, the bullish thesis is invalidated.