NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-11 00:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.19 %

Entry

0.56057

Target

0.55865 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56496 −0.78 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Down, MA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

00:00TomorrowUSDFed Governor Jefferson Speech●●○in 5h
13:30November 16, 2026USDNY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index●●○in 2 days
20:00November 16, 2026NZDRBNZ Financial Stability Report●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.46
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.18
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart with multiple moving average and momentum indicators aligning lower.
Timeframe alignment is predominantly bearish, with solid trends on 30-minute and daily, and forming trends on higher timeframes.
Immediate downside focus is the support at 0.55865; a break below could accelerate the move.
Watch the resistance at 0.56496—a close above it would invalidate the sell setup.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Stochastic KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, ZLMA Break Down, and a Long Legged Doji candlestick. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at the 30-minute timeframe, with the price retreating from key moving averages and breaking below the ZeroLag MA. The Long Legged Doji adds a note of indecision, but its placement within a bearish retreat suggests it may act as a continuation pattern rather than a reversal.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, though the strength varies. The 30-minute and daily charts show solid trends (3/5), while the 1-hour, 2-hour, and 12-hour charts are forming bearish trends (2/5). The 15-minute, 4-hour, and 8-hour charts are choppy/sideways but still bearish. This alignment supports the sell signal, with the immediate downside target being the nearest support at 0.55865. The nearest resistance at 0.56496 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (EMA 200, MA, SMA 50, HMA) all retreating down, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ ZLMA Break Down and ER Level Cross Down add technical confluence, increasing the probability of continuation.
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with solid trends on 30-minute and daily charts supporting the signal.
▼ High signal probability (90%) and very strong strength rating.

Risk Factors

▲ The Long Legged Doji could signal indecision and a potential short-term bounce, especially if the price holds above support.
▲ The 15-minute chart is bullish/choppy, which may lead to temporary counter-trend rallies.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.56496 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Weakening momentum on higher timeframes (4h and 8h are only 1/5) may limit the downside potential.