USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY With the trend 10× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.05 %
Entry
158.740
Target
159.028 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.872 −0.55 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, HMA Break Up, KAMA Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDFed Governor Jefferson Speech●●○in 5h
  • November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 24%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.89
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.59
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.20
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.15
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.82
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.48
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 1.27
▼ Hanging Man candlestick 1.21

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 30M with multiple indicators aligning.
  • Solid bullish trend on 30M and 1H, but higher timeframes are mixed.
  • Key support at 157.872; a break below would invalidate the bullish case.
  • No immediate resistance, so upside potential could be open.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is a strong bullish confluence, with a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators aligning: a Trendline Break Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, SMA Retreat Up, and CTI OS Entry. This suggests that after a pullback, buying pressure is reasserting itself, with price retreating to and bouncing off key moving averages and trendlines. The signal probability is high (91%) and strength is very strong, indicating a high degree of alignment among the components.

Across timeframes, the 30-minute and 1-hour charts show solid bullish trends (3/5), while the 15-minute is still bearish but forming a trend, and higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are bullish but choppy. The 12H and 1D are bearish, which introduces a conflicting longer-term bias. The nearest support is at 157.872, a level that should hold for the bullish case to remain valid; resistance is undefined, so upside may be open. Traders should watch for continuation above recent swing highs, with a break below support invalidating the bullish signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (Trendline Break, STOCH KD Cross, EMA/MA/SMA Retreat) all point to renewed bullish momentum.
  • ▲ Solid trend scores on 30M and 1H support the signal's timeframe.
  • ▲ Price retreating to and bouncing off key moving averages and trendlines suggests strong buying interest.
  • ▲ High signal probability (91%) and very strong strength indicate high confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ 15M is still bearish, so a short-term pullback could occur before continuation.
  • ▼ If price breaks below support at 157.872, the bullish signal is invalidated.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways trends on 4H and 8H suggest the broader market may lack direction.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 24%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-10 22:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 157.87200 2026-11-10
S2 157.66900 2026-11-09

Tags

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