ADA/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-12 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −1.22 %

Entry

0.1723

Target

0.1833 +6.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.1702 −1.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.04 % per trade 2,312 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,312 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.53 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.73 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 22 % at stop avg −3.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire, STOCH OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 39.5 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 2,298 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ADA/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 20:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.51
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.49
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.31
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.19
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	0.95
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	0.76

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish signals fired on the 4H chart, including a Bullish Engulfing and exits from oversold conditions, suggesting a short-term bounce.
The squeeze has fired, indicating low volatility that could resolve with a sharp move—likely upward in the near term.
The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is a counter-trend move; expect resistance near 0.18330.
Key support at 0.17020 is the invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish signals and likely resume the downtrend.

The 4H ADA/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Bullish Engulfing candlestick, a zero-cross up in the BOP, and exits from oversold conditions on CCI, STOCH, and CTI. The squeeze has fired, indicating a contraction in volatility that often precedes a directional move, and the HMA retreat up adds further confirmation. Together, these signals suggest that the immediate selling pressure is exhausting and a short-term bounce is underway, with the nearest resistance at 0.18330 as the primary upside target.

However, the broader trend remains firmly bearish across most timeframes, with the 12H chart showing a very strong downtrend. This means the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend correction within a larger decline, not a reversal. The key support at 0.17020 is the line in the sand; a break below that would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend. Traders should watch for a potential test of the resistance at 0.18330, but with the higher timeframes aligned against the move, any rally may be limited and should be treated with caution.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of multiple signal types (candlestick and indicator) on the 4H chart.
▲ Oversold conditions on CCI, STOCH, and CTI suggest selling pressure is exhausted, increasing the odds of a bounce.
▲ The Bullish Engulfing pattern is a classic reversal signal, and the HMA retreat up adds momentum confirmation.
▲ The squeeze firing indicates a volatility contraction, which often precedes a sharp directional move—favoring the bulls in this case.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend is bearish, especially on the 12H and 1D timeframes; the bullish signals may be a temporary correction within a larger downtrend.
▼ Resistance at 0.18330 is nearby and could cap any upside, especially if the higher timeframe trend reasserts.
▼ If the price breaks below the nearest support at 0.17020, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the bounce lacks volume or if the 4H trend (still bearish) takes over.