AVAX/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-12 18:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +3.10 %

Entry

8.3260

Target

8.0680 +3.10 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.7410 −4.98 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 4,219 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 4,219 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.06 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.04 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.07 % 22 % at stop avg −2.83 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 20:03 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.75
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.27
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals across indicators and candlesticks align on the 2H chart, pointing to continued downside pressure.
Most timeframes are bearish but choppy, so expect a grind lower rather than a sharp trend.
Watch the 8.06800 support: a break below it could accelerate selling, while a hold may lead to consolidation.
The 12H bullish trend is a caution flag; avoid chasing shorts if price reclaims 8.74100 resistance.

The 2H SELL signal on AVA/XUSDT is driven by a confluence of bearish momentum and trend indicators, including a KAMA retreat down, SMA 50 retreat down, and an ER level cross down, alongside candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji and Matching Low) that suggest selling pressure. The bearish alignment across most timeframes (15m through 8h, plus 1d) supports the downside bias, though the 12h timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, which could act as a counterweight. The signal's moderate strength and 70% probability reflect a coherent bearish setup but not an extreme trend. Key levels to monitor are resistance at 8.74100 and support at 8.06800; a break below support would likely validate the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would negate it.

Traders should watch for confirmation of the signal through a sustained move below the nearest support, as the choppy/sideways nature of most timeframes indicates a lack of strong trend momentum. The bearish signals are consistent with a short-term pullback within a broader range, but the 12h bullish trend forming suggests caution against overextending short positions. The invalidation level is the nearest resistance at 8.74100; if price climbs back above it, the bearish thesis weakens. Overall, the setup favors a short bias with a focus on support break for continuation, but traders should remain alert to conflicting signals from the higher timeframe.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator retreats (KAMA, SMA 50, ALMA) confirm bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji, Matching Low) reinforce selling pressure.
▼ Bearish alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 1d timeframes supports the short bias.
▼ ER level cross down adds a trend-strength confirmation to the bearish setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The 12H timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, which could counter the lower-timeframe bearish signals.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes suggest weak momentum, risking false breakouts.
▲ If price holds above support and pushes back above 8.74100 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ The signal's moderate strength implies limited conviction; a lack of follow-through could lead to a reversal.