AVAX/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-12 22:30 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −1.26 %

Entry

8.3410

Target

8.7100 +4.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.2360 −1.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 15,326 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 15,326 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Up, QSTICK Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 39.5 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 2,298 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 23:03 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.58
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.34

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of momentum and mean-reversion signals on the 30-minute chart points to a short-term bullish bounce.
The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is a counter-trend move, not a reversal.
Watch the 8.71000 resistance and 8.23600 support as key levels for the trade's validity.
The 12-hour chart is the only timeframe showing bullish development, adding a weak tailwind.

The AVA/XUSDT 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of momentum and mean-reversion indicators pointing to a short-term bullish bounce. The Aroon Cross Down, CCI OS Exit, MOM Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and QSTICK Zero Cross Up all suggest that downside momentum is fading and buying pressure is building. The BBANDS Middle Cross Up and DEMA Retreat Up indicate that price is reclaiming key moving averages, while the Fisher Zero Cross Down (a contrarian signal) reinforces the idea of a reversal from oversold conditions. However, the broader trend remains bearish across most timeframes, with only the 12-hour chart showing a developing bullish structure. This suggests the signal is best viewed as a counter-trend bounce rather than a trend reversal, with resistance at 8.71000 as the immediate upside target and support at 8.23600 as the critical level to hold.

Traders should watch for confirmation of the bounce through sustained price action above the 30-minute moving averages and a shift in higher timeframe momentum. The moderate strength and 67% probability reflect a decent, but not overwhelming, edge. The key risk is that the longer-term bearish trend reasserts itself, especially if the 30-minute chart fails to break above the 8.71000 resistance. A close below the 8.23600 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the choppy conditions on most timeframes, this signal is best suited for short-term traders who can react quickly to changing conditions.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, MOM, STOCHF, QSTICK) are turning up from oversold conditions, suggesting fresh buying interest.
▲ Price reclaiming the BBANDS middle and DEMA signals a shift in short-term momentum.
▲ The 12-hour chart is showing a developing bullish trend, which could eventually support higher timeframes.
▲ The confluence of ten signals increases the likelihood of a successful bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across all major timeframes (15m to 1d) is bearish, which could overwhelm the 30-minute bounce.
▼ A failure to break above the 8.71000 resistance would leave the bounce capped and could lead to renewed selling.
▼ A close below the 8.23600 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a continuation lower.
▼ The choppy, sideways conditions on most timeframes reduce the reliability of trend-following signals.