AVAX/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-12 13:30 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.12 %

Entry

8.3330

Target

8.6700 +4.04 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.0680 −3.18 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 15,326 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 15,326 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, RSI OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 16.6 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 33.1 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 2,515 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 5h
13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 4 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 14:03 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.51
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.46
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.37
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals on the 30M chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the broader trend is still bearish.
Watch the nearest resistance at 8.67000; a break above could signal a stronger recovery.
Support at 8.06800 is the key invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish setup.
Counter-trend trades carry higher risk; consider scaling in or waiting for confirmation on higher timeframes.

The AVA/USDT 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI and Stoch exiting oversold, a StochRSI KD Cross Up, an HMA Retreat Up, and a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern. These signals suggest a short-term bounce is underway, with momentum shifting from bearish to bullish. However, the broader trend remains bearish across most timeframes, with only the 8h and 12h showing tentative bullish formation. The confluence of oversold exits and a bullish reversal pattern points to a potential retest of the nearest resistance at 8.67000, while support at 8.06800 is the key level to watch for invalidation.

Traders should treat this as a counter-trend move within a larger bearish structure. The moderate strength and 74% probability indicate a tradable opportunity, but the lack of bullish alignment across higher timeframes limits the upside potential. A break above 8.67000 would signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold above support could see the bounce fade. The HT Phasor Inphase Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down add a cautious note, suggesting the underlying trend may still be weak.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exits (RSI, Stoch) and a StochRSI cross up indicate momentum is turning bullish.
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick pattern provides a classic reversal signal at a potential support zone.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up suggests buying pressure is emerging, supporting the bounce.
▲ The 8h and 12h timeframes show early bullish formation, offering longer-term tailwinds.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across 15m to 4h timeframes could overpower the short-term bounce.
▼ The HT Phasor Inphase Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down hint at underlying weakness that may limit upside.
▼ If price fails to hold above support at 8.06800, the bullish signals would be invalidated.
▼ Nearby resistance at 8.67000 could cap gains, especially if higher timeframes remain bearish.