AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-12 08:00 UTC 19 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.24 %

Entry

8.6240

Target

8.3790 +2.84 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.6700 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 15,050 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 15,050 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, ZLMA Break Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 17 % (2.45) ▼ Bearish 83 % (12.21)

model score 83.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.7 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 38.6 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 2,252 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 4h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 6h
17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 08:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.47
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.45
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.40
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.11
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong short-term bearish signal on the 30-minute chart, backed by multiple momentum and volatility indicators.
Broader trend is bullish but weak and choppy across most timeframes, so the sell signal may be a pullback rather than a reversal.
Watch the nearest support at 8.37900; a break below strengthens the bearish case, while a move back above 8.67000 would invalidate it.
Higher timeframe trends are mixed, with the daily bearish but the 12-hour turning bullish, adding uncertainty.

The SELL signal on AVA/XUSDT at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of momentum and volatility indicators. The CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down all point to a loss of upside momentum, while the BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down and HMA/ZLMA Break Down confirm a bearish shift in price structure. The Gapping Down Doji candlestick adds a bearish reversal element, reinforcing the short-term selling pressure.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. All timeframes from 15 minutes up to 8 hours are bullish but choppy, with a weak trend score of 1/5, suggesting that the current pullback may be temporary. The 12-hour timeframe shows a forming bullish trend, while the daily is bearish. This creates conflicting signals across higher timeframes, so the sell signal is best viewed as a short-term counter-trend move. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 8.67000 and support at 8.37900. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of eight signals across indicator and candlestick groups, all pointing lower.
▼ Momentum indicators (CCI, STOCH, ERI) all show bearish crossovers or exits from overbought conditions.
▼ Price breaking below key moving averages (HMA, ZLMA) signals a short-term trend shift.
▼ Gapping Down Doji suggests a potential reversal from recent highs.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends are bullish, albeit weak, which could limit downside follow-through.
▲ The 12-hour trend is forming bullish, potentially conflicting with the short-term bearish signal.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 8.67000, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Choppy conditions across all timeframes may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.