USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY With the trend NEW

2026-11-12 08:00 UTC 21 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

159.745

Target

160.032 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.665 −0.68 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Retreat Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 74 % (16.10) ▼ Bearish 26 % (5.76)

model score 73.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 4h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 4h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 6h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 08:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	EMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.88
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	STC Level Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.45
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.32
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signal on 30M with strong confluence from multiple indicators.
Higher timeframes (1H, 2H) show solid bullish trends, supporting the buy bias.
Watch resistance at 159.93800; a break could accelerate upside.
Support at 159.47800 is the key invalidation level for this setup.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is a BUY, backed by a cluster of indicator signals including a BOP Zero Cross Up, EMA 50 and SMA 50 Retreat Up, and a BBANDS Middle Cross Up. While the very short-term 15-minute trend is bearish and choppy, the 30-minute and higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) show a bullish trend or trend forming, with the 1H and 2H rated as solid trends. This alignment suggests that the pullback on the lower timeframe may be a retracement within a larger bullish move, and the signal likely captures the start of a renewed upswing.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 159.93800 and support at 159.47800. A break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. The moderate strength and 73% probability indicate a reasonable edge, but traders should be mindful of the mixed signals on the 15-minute and the choppiness on higher timeframes, which could lead to false breakouts.

Catalysts

▲ Trend alignment across 30M, 1H, 2H, and 4H all bullish or forming.
▲ Multiple indicator signals (BOP, EMA, SMA, BBANDS) point to buying pressure.
▲ Price holding above nearest support suggests buyers are in control.
▲ Moderate strength with high probability (73%) indicates a decent edge.

Risk Factors

▼ 15-minute trend is bearish and choppy, which could lead to short-term pullbacks.
▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are only choppy/sideways, lacking strong trend momentum.
▼ If price breaks below 159.47800 support, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ Fading momentum on the 15-minute could delay the expected move.