AVAX/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-12 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.63 %

Entry

8.3630

Target

7.7730 +7.05 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.1600 −9.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.27 % per trade 1,269 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,269 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

28 % at target avg +3.75 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.27 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.55 % 23 % at stop avg −5.12 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 28 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % ↑ +17.3 vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +10% Swing

▲ Bullish 12 % (3.51) ▼ Bearish 88 % (25.20)

model score 87.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.83
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.68
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.66
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.66
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.63
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.50
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.48
▼	SMA 50 Break Down	indicator	2.36
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.20
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.16
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.79
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.67
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	0.98
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is strong across multiple indicators on the 8H chart.
All timeframes align bearish, supporting the high-probability sell signal.
Watch for a break below 7.77300 to confirm further downside.
A move above 9.16000 would invalidate the bearish outlook.

The 8H chart for AVA/XUSDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI Zero Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, EMA Break Down, and MA Break Down, among many others. This confluence indicates strong downside momentum and a well-established downtrend on the 8H timeframe. The price action has broken below key moving averages, and the MAMA PRICE Break Down further confirms the bearish structure. The alignment across all monitored timeframes is consistently bearish, with the 30m and 12h showing trend formation, while others are choppy but still bearish. This broad agreement across timeframes supports the high probability rating of 95%.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 9.16000 and support at 7.77300. A break below the support would likely accelerate the decline, while a move back above the resistance could invalidate the bearish setup. The signal groups include both indicator and candlestick patterns, adding to the robustness of the signal. Traders should watch for sustained price action below the broken moving averages and a potential retest of the resistance as a new supply zone.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 15+ bearish signals from both indicator and candlestick groups.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, from 15m to 1D.
▼ Breakdown below key moving averages and middle Bollinger Band.
▼ Very strong signal strength with 95% probability rating.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes could lead to false breakouts.
▲ A rebound above the nearest resistance at 9.16000 would invalidate the signal.
▲ Fading momentum if price fails to break below the support at 7.77300.
▲ Potential for a bullish correction if higher timeframe trend shifts.