EUR/USD – 12H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-11 22:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.66 %

Entry

1.10944

Target

1.12731 +1.61 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.07371 −3.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.03 % per trade 282 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 282 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.68 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.47 % 18 % at stop avg −0.75 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 100 % (5.35) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 5.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.7 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 746 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

09:15TomorrowEURBbk Executive Board Member Mauderer Speech●●○in 1 day
10:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous -0.5%in 1 day
10:00TomorrowUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.27
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

12H momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) point to a short-term bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
Resistance at 1.12731 is the key level to watch; a break above could signal a deeper correction.
Higher timeframes (1H, 1D) are strongly bearish, so this is a counter-trend signal, not a reversal.
Volatility squeeze suggests a potential expansion, but direction is not guaranteed.

The 12H EUR/USD signal has fired a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators that point to a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish structure. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up both suggest buying pressure is emerging, while the MAMA Cross Down and SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicate that a volatility contraction may be ending, often preceding directional moves. However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 1H showing a very strong downtrend and the 1D a solid downtrend, so this signal is best interpreted as a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12731, which aligns with the bearish trend and could cap any upside. A break above that level would be a significant shift, but until then, the bounce may be limited. The lack of a defined nearest support means traders should rely on recent swing lows or psychological levels for invalidation. The moderate strength and the conflicting timeframes suggest caution, with the signal likely to play out as a short-term long opportunity within a larger downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, STOCHF) are turning up, suggesting buying pressure is building.
▲ Squeeze Fire indicates a volatility contraction, which often precedes a directional move; the momentum alignment favors upside.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes show bullish trends, providing short-term support for the bounce.
▲ A bounce from oversold conditions is plausible given the prolonged bearish run.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H and 1D timeframes are strongly bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish momentum.
▼ Resistance at 1.12731 is nearby and could halt the bounce; failure to break it would confirm the bearish trend.
▼ The signal is moderate strength, and the conflicting timeframes reduce confidence.
▼ If the bounce fails, a break below recent lows would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.