EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-12 00:30 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.04 %

Entry

1.10974

Target

1.11701 +0.66 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.10468 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,643 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,643 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up, FISHER Zero Cross Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.7 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 17.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 672 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

09:15TomorrowEURBbk Executive Board Member Mauderer Speech●●○in 1 day
10:00TomorrowUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 1 day
10:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous -0.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.41
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.33
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.25
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.91
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	0.90
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.90
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.89
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	0.88
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	0.88
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.85

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce.
Higher timeframes remain bearish, so any upside is likely counter-trend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.11701 and support at 1.10824 for direction.
Probability is 80% with strong signal strength, but higher timeframe trend conflicts.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP zero cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, and multiple moving average retreats (BBANDS upper retreat down, DEMA, KAMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE). These indicate a short-term momentum shift and a potential bounce from oversold conditions. However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bearish, with the 1-hour and 30-minute trends showing very strong and strong bearish momentum, respectively. This creates a conflict between the immediate bullish signals and the larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.11701 and support at 1.10824. A break above resistance could confirm a short-term reversal, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the strong bearish trend on higher timeframes, any upside is likely to be limited and may offer a counter-trend opportunity for short-term traders. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 30-minute chart suggests a decent probability of a bounce, but traders should remain cautious and manage risk accordingly.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of 10+ indicators all pointing bullish on the 30-minute chart.
▲ BOP zero cross up indicates buying pressure increasing.
▲ STOCHF KD cross up shows momentum shifting upward from oversold levels.
▲ Retreats in multiple moving averages suggest price pulling back from upper bands, often leading to a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish trends on 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes could overpower the short-term bullish signals.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 1.10824, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ The 1-hour extremely strong bearish trend (5/5) may limit upside potential.
▼ Counter-trend trades carry higher risk; consider waiting for confirmation on higher timeframes.