EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-12 12:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.16 %

Entry

1.10856

Target

1.10677 +0.16 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11701 −0.76 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,643 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,643 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

09:15TomorrowEURBbk Executive Board Member Mauderer Speech●●○in 1 day
10:00TomorrowUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 1 day
10:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous -0.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▲	KST Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30M chart points to strong short-term selling pressure.
Key support at 1.10663 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 1.11005 is the invalidation level.
Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 1D) support the bearish bias, but the 30M and 15M trends are still forming.
Watch for a break below support to confirm continuation; reclaiming resistance would negate the setup.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, and RSI Midline Cross Down, alongside momentum and trend indicators like the DI CROSS and DM CROSS Cross Up, EMA 50 Retreat Down, and T3 Retreat Down. This confluence of indicators suggests a strong short-term bearish push, with the 83% probability and strong strength underscoring the alignment of multiple technical tools. The immediate target is the nearest support at 1.10663, while the nearest resistance at 1.11005 acts as the key invalidation zone if price reclaims it.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is reinforced by the 1-hour and 2-hour charts showing solid to very strong downtrends, and the daily chart also supports a solid bearish trend. However, the 30-minute chart itself is still labeled bullish, which introduces a conflict at the signal's own timeframe. The 15-minute trend is only forming, and higher timeframes like 8h and 12h are choppy/sideways, suggesting that while the immediate momentum is bearish, the broader picture is not uniformly aligned. Traders should watch for a break below 1.10663 to confirm further downside, while a move back above 1.11005 would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, EMA, T3) all signaling bearish momentum.
▼ Strong trend alignment on 1H (4/5) and 2H (3/5) timeframes.
▼ Daily chart shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), adding medium-term weight.
▼ High probability (83%) and strong signal strength.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30M chart itself is still bullish, conflicting with the bearish signal on the same timeframe.
▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways, which could cap downside momentum.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 1.11005, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes could lead to a bounce before support is reached.