NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-12 04:00 UTC 31 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

0.55583

Target

0.55744 +0.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55380 −0.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CTI OS Exit, DEMA Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 82 % (8.10) ▼ Bearish 18 % (1.74)

model score 82.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 04:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.86
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.47
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.98
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a potential short-term bounce.
The broader trend is bearish across higher timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
Watch the resistance at 0.55744; a break above it could strengthen the bullish case.
The support at 0.55380 is critical; losing it would invalidate the bullish setup.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, CTI OS Exit, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down, Bullish Harami Cross, and Long Legged Doji. These signals indicate a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish trend. The candlestick patterns suggest a reversal attempt, while the indicator signals point to improving momentum and a shift in market flow.

However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 1-hour and daily charts showing solid downtrends. The 30-minute trend is still bearish but forming, and the lower timeframes are choppy. The nearest resistance at 0.55744 is a key barrier; a break above it could signal a more sustained recovery, while the support at 0.55380 is the immediate downside risk. The confluence of signals is strong, but the overall trend context argues for caution.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami Cross, Long Legged Doji) signal a reversal attempt.
▲ Indicator confluence: BOP Zero Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up all point to improving momentum.
▲ CTI OS Exit and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down suggest oversold conditions are unwinding.
▲ Strong signal probability (82%) and strength (strong) indicate high conviction among the fired signals.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid downtrends on the 1-hour and daily charts.
▼ The 30-minute trend is still bearish, and the lower timeframes are choppy, which could limit upside.
▼ If price breaks below the support at 0.55380, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.55744 is a potential ceiling; failure to break it could lead to a fade.