BCH/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.70 %
Entry
218.10
Target
290.60 +33.24 %
closes in profit
Stop
210.56 −3.46 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.05 % per trade 2,355 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,355 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +2.50 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.74 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 23 % at stop avg −3.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, ER Level Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
38.0 % ↑ +2.1 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 100 % (5.61) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 11.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 45.5 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 5,101 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
BCH/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for BCH/USDT

Full calendar
  • November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
  • November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
  • November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 11%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.25
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.23
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.20
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.18
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.18
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.05
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 0.90
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 0.67
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.63

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish reversal signals have fired on the 4H chart, but they are counter to the strong bearish trend across all timeframes.
  • The nearest resistance at 290.60 is a key level; a break above could signal a stronger bounce, while rejection may lead to continued downside.
  • The cluster of indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, Bullish Harami) suggests a potential short-term bounce, but momentum remains weak per MACD and PHASOR.
  • No clear support level is defined, increasing uncertainty about the downside risk.
The BCH/USDT 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern, suggesting a potential short-term bounce within a broader downtrend. However, the MACD Signal Cross Down and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicate that momentum may still be weak, and the overall trend across all timeframes is bearish, with strong trend scores on the 4H and other key timeframes.

The bullish signals are occurring near the nearest resistance at 290.60, which could act as a ceiling for any bounce. The lack of a defined nearest support level adds uncertainty, as there is no clear floor to gauge downside risk. The confluence of multiple indicators pointing to a reversal, combined with the bearish trend alignment, suggests that any upside may be limited and could be a counter-trend move. Traders should watch whether price can break above the resistance to confirm a stronger reversal, or if the bearish trend resumes.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously, including BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OS Exit, indicating a possible shift in short-term momentum.
  • ▲ The Bullish Harami candlestick pattern on the 4H timeframe adds a classic reversal signal.
  • ▲ The signals are occurring after a period of strong bearish trend, which could set up a mean-reversion bounce.
  • ▲ The 71% probability and moderate strength suggest a reasonable chance of a short-term move higher.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The overwhelming bearish trend across all timeframes (strong on 4H and others) argues against a sustained upside move; the bullish signals may be a temporary counter-trend bounce.
  • ▼ The MACD Signal Cross Down and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicate that momentum is not fully aligned with the bullish signals, potentially limiting upside.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 290.60 is a significant barrier; failure to break above it could lead to a resumption of the downtrend.
  • ▼ The lack of a defined nearest support level means there is no clear invalidation point, making risk management more challenging.
Symbol BCH/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 11%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-13 04:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 290.60000 2026-11-05
R2 297.90000 2026-10-31
R3 304.80000 2026-10-28

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