EUR/AUD – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW
6 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
1.62373
Target
1.62912 +0.33 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.59900 −1.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 665 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 665 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
55.7 % – first candle
MODERATE Swing
▲ Bullish 67 % (15.59) ▼ Bearish 33 % (7.82)
model score 66.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 4h
  • TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 5h
  • TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 5h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.18
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.86
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.84
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.83
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.70
▼ STC Level Cross Down indicator 1.58
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 1.56
▲ RSX Midline Cross Up indicator 1.51
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.49
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 1.48
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 1.36
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.19
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.19
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.19
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 0.83

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 4H signal is bullish, but lower timeframes are still bearish, so the bounce may be early.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid uptrends, supporting the bullish bias.
  • Resistance at 1.62912 is the key level to watch for confirmation; support at 1.59900 is the invalidation zone.
  • The signal is moderate strength (66% probability), so position sizing should reflect the uncertainty.
The EUR/AUD 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a DI Cross Down (which, in this context, marks a bearish crossover that often precedes a bounce), plus multiple 'Retreat Up' signals from EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, and a trendline. This suggests that after a recent pullback, price is finding support and beginning to recover within the broader uptrend seen on the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes. The higher timeframes are in solid bullish trends, while the lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are still bearish and choppy, indicating that the current bounce may be the start of a reversal rather than a confirmed trend change. The nearest resistance at 1.62912 is the immediate hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case. Support at 1.59900 is the key level to watch — a loss of this level would invalidate the bullish setup and likely signal a deeper correction.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Strong bullish alignment on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) provides a supportive backdrop.
  • ▲ Multiple 'Retreat Up' signals from various indicators (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) suggest broad-based buying pressure at current levels.
  • ▲ The DI Cross Down may indicate that the recent bearish momentum is exhausting, setting up a potential reversal.
  • ▲ The price is near support at 1.59900, which could act as a springboard for a bounce.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are still bearish and choppy, which could mean the bounce is merely a pullback within a larger downtrend.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 1.59900, the bullish setup is invalidated and could lead to further downside.
  • ▼ The signal strength is only moderate (66%), so there is a meaningful chance the signal fails.
  • ▼ Resistance at 1.62912 is nearby and could cap upside if not broken with conviction.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 67%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-11-12 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.62912 2026-11-10
R2 1.63352 2026-09-30
S1 1.59900 2026-11-05
S2 1.57746 2026-10-28

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