LUNC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-13 22:30 UTC 15 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.57 %

Entry

0.00003679

Target

0.00003774 +2.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00003600 −2.15 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 15,326 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 15,326 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ER Level Cross Up, SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire, STOCH OS Exit

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

54.9 % – first candle

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 65 % (5.12) ▼ Bearish 35 % (2.75)

model score 65.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 45.2 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 4,972 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.89
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.34
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a possible short-term bounce, but the overall trend is bearish across all timeframes.
Nearest resistance and support are both at 0.00004, making this a key decision zone.
The signals are moderate strength with a 65% probability, indicating a counter-trend move rather than a reversal.
Watch the 0.00004 level: a break above could fuel the bounce, while a break below invalidates the bullish case.

The 30-minute chart for LUN/CUSDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Stochastic Oscillator exit from oversold, a MAMA Cross Down, an Efficiency Ratio Level Cross Up, a Squeeze Fire, and a Gapping Down Doji. Together, these suggest that downside momentum may be exhausting and a short-term bounce could be underway. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 12-hour trend extremely strong to the downside. This creates a conflicting picture: the intraday signals point to a potential mean-reversion bounce, but the higher-timeframe trend favors continued selling.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance and support, both at 0.00004. This tight range suggests that price is at a critical juncture; a break above resistance could trigger a larger corrective move, while a loss of support would confirm the dominant downtrend and invalidate the bullish signals. Given the moderate strength and 65% probability, traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity with defined risk, not a trend reversal signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (Stochastic, MAMA, ER, Squeeze) align in signaling a potential upward move from oversold conditions.
▲ The Gapping Down Doji candlestick pattern often marks a pause in a downtrend, supporting a bounce scenario.
▲ The squeeze fire indicates reduced volatility, which often precedes a directional move; the bullish signals suggest the direction could be up.
▲ The proximity of support at 0.00004 provides a clear level for buyers to defend.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the extremely strong 12-hour trend, could overwhelm the intraday bounce.
▼ A break below the 0.00004 support would invalidate the bullish signals and likely accelerate the downtrend.
▼ The MAMA Cross Down signal is typically bearish, conflicting with the other bullish signals and reducing conviction.
▼ The bounce may be short-lived, with resistance at 0.00004 capping upside if buyers fail to push through.