NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-13 17:00 UTC 16 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %

Entry

0.55255

Target

0.55516 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.54968 −0.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Falling Wedge, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +23% Scalping

▲ Bullish 87 % (11.37) ▼ Bearish 13 % (1.77)

model score 86.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 1,126 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

00:00TomorrowUSDFed Governor Jefferson Speech●●○in 6h
13:30November 16, 2026USDNY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index●●○in 2 days
20:00November 16, 2026NZDRBNZ Financial Stability Report●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Falling Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.88
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.31
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.09
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A bullish reversal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce is likely, but the overall trend is still bearish.
The Falling Wedge and Long Legged Doji add weight to the bullish case, indicating potential exhaustion of the downside move.
The nearest resistance at 0.55516 is the key level to watch; a break above it could signal a stronger correction, while a rejection would confirm the bearish trend.
All higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 1D) are bearish, so this is best treated as a counter-trend long with a tight risk management plan.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Falling Wedge pattern, a Long Legged Doji, and multiple momentum and volatility indicators turning up (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit). The ER Level Cross Down indicates that the price has moved back inside an expected range, which often precedes a mean-reversion bounce. The confluence of these signals, all firing within the same 30-minute candle, suggests that a short-term oversold condition is being resolved and that the immediate downside momentum is exhausting.

However, the broader trend context remains firmly bearish across every timeframe from 15 minutes up to the daily chart, with the highest trend scores (3/5) on the 1-hour, 2-hour, and daily timeframes. The Falling Wedge is a bullish reversal pattern, but it is forming within a dominant downtrend, which means the signal is most likely a corrective bounce rather than a full trend reversal. The nearest resistance at 0.55516 is the immediate upside target and also a potential invalidation point if the price fails to break above it. Traders should watch this level closely, as a rejection there would confirm that the broader bearish trend remains intact.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, HMA, ZSCORE) are all turning up simultaneously, indicating a strong momentum shift.
▲ The Falling Wedge pattern provides a classic bullish reversal setup, especially after a prolonged decline.
▲ The Long Legged Doji at the bottom of the wedge suggests selling pressure is fading and buyers are stepping in.
▲ The ER Level Cross Down indicates the price has re-entered a normal range, which often precedes a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes could overpower the 30-minute bullish signal, leading to a failed bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.55516 is a strong barrier; if the price fails to break above it, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ Momentum indicators can give false signals in a strong downtrend, especially when the bounce is just a retracement.
▼ Watch for the 30-minute trend score to drop or for a bearish candlestick pattern to form near resistance, which would signal a resumption of the downtrend.