AVAX/USDT – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW CLOSED

2026-11-14 17:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −2.18 %

Entry

7.4890

Target

8.6360 +15.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

7.3255 −2.18 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 7,927 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,927 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.63 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.48 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.49 % 23 % at stop avg −2.03 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 45.5 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 5,101 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 2 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 2 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.84
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.83

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bullish signals clash with a strong bearish trend across all timeframes.
The 8.63600 resistance is the key level to watch for a potential breakout.
This is likely a counter-trend bounce; treat it with caution.
A break below the signal's low would invalidate the bullish setup.

The 1H signal fires a BUY based on a cluster of short-term bullish indicators: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, and a Gapping Down Doji. These indicate a potential short-term bounce or reversal attempt within a broader bearish context. However, the trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the 15m, 30m, and 1h showing strong or solid downtrends. This creates a conflicting picture: the short-term momentum is turning up, but the higher timeframe trend remains firmly down.

The key resistance at 8.63600 is the immediate upside target and a critical level to watch. If price can break above this level, it could signal a more meaningful reversal. However, given the overwhelming bearish trend across all timeframes, the probability of a sustained upside move is limited. The signal is best viewed as a potential counter-trend bounce, and traders should be cautious. A failure to hold above the signal's low or a break back below recent support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (BOP, STOCH, HMA, candlestick pattern) on the 1H.
▲ Potential for a short-term bounce after a strong downtrend, as momentum indicators reset.
▲ The Gapping Down Doji suggests selling pressure may be exhausting.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes argues against a sustained upside move.
▼ The 15m and 30m trends are extremely strong bearish, which could overwhelm the 1H signal.
▼ Resistance at 8.63600 is nearby and could cap any rally.
▼ If price fails to hold above the signal's low, the bullish case is invalidated.