AVAX/USDT – 2H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED
19 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −2.56 %
Entry
7.0940
Target
8.6360 +21.74 %
closes in profit
Stop
6.9124 −2.56 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 4,412 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 4,412 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +2.00 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.03 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.06 % 23 % at stop avg −2.81 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, KDJ OS Exit

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 41,828 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.9 % vs 33.0 % on average · stopped out 47.9 % vs 23.5 % (crypto, 5,387 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AVAX/USDT  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar
  • November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 1 day
  • November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 1 day
  • November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 2h 23%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.80
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.34

Trend Context

15M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
30M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish momentum signal on 2H, but trend is bearish across all timeframes.
  • Resistance at 8.63600 is the key upside target and breakout level.
  • Signal is counter-trend; likely a bounce, not a reversal.
  • Watch for failure near resistance to confirm bearish continuation.
The 2H chart has fired a bullish signal via the STOCHF KD Cross Up and KDJ OS Exit, indicating that the stochastic oscillator has crossed upward from oversold territory. This suggests a potential short-term bounce or reversal in momentum. However, the broader trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the 15m through 2H timeframes showing strong to solid downtrends, and higher timeframes (4H and above) also bearish but with weaker trend scores, indicating choppy or sideways action. The signal is counter-trend, so the upside may be limited.

Given the bearish alignment, the immediate resistance at 8.63600 is a critical level to watch. A break above this could signal a stronger reversal, but failure to hold above it would likely see the bearish trend resume. The signal's high probability and very strong strength are based on the oscillator readings, but they do not override the prevailing trend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long against the trend, with tight risk management and a clear invalidation level below the recent swing low.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Stochastic oscillator cross up from oversold indicates a momentum shift.
  • ▲ KDJ oversold exit suggests selling pressure may be exhausted in the short term.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability add weight to the bounce scenario.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Strong bearish trends on lower timeframes could overpower the counter-trend signal.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above 8.63600, the bounce may fade and downtrend resumes.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trend is bearish, so upside is likely capped.
  • ▼ Invalidation level: a move back below the recent swing low would negate the signal.
Symbol AVAX/USDT
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 23%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-14 20:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 8.63600 2026-11-13
R2 8.74100 2026-11-11
R3 9.01400 2026-11-09

Tags

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