AVAX/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW CLOSED

2026-11-14 16:00 UTC 14 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.05 %

Entry

7.4220

Target

7.3440 +1.05 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.0140 −21.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.06 % per trade 2,429 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,429 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +2.44 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.74 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 23 % at stop avg −3.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 41,828 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 2 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 2 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	3.50
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	3.42
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	3.05
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.64
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.49
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.34
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.05
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 4H with 91% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicators confirm downside: Death Cross, RSI oversold, and several breakdowns.
Lower timeframes (15m-1H) show extremely strong bearish trends, supporting the move.
Resistance at 9.01400 is key; no defined support means downside may extend.

The AVA/USDT 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an RSI oversold entry, a Death Cross on the 20/50 SMA, and multiple breakdowns (MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3). With a 91% probability and very strong strength, the signal points to sustained downside momentum. Trend alignment is strongest on the lower timeframes—15m and 30m show extremely strong bearish trends (5/5), and 1H is very strong (4/5)—while higher timeframes (2H and above) are still forming or choppy, suggesting the move is being driven by short-term selling pressure that could extend if lower-timeframe momentum persists.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance sits at 9.01400, which now acts as a ceiling for any bounce attempts. With no defined nearest support, the downside is open, and traders should monitor for potential support zones on lower timeframes or prior swing lows. The confluence of multiple indicators breaking down simultaneously reinforces the bearish case, but the lack of support makes it critical to manage risk carefully.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes (extremely strong bearish).
▼ Confluence of multiple breakdown signals (MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3) and SMA Death Cross.
▼ RSI and RSX oversold entries suggest momentum is firmly bearish.
▼ High signal probability (91%) and very strong strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H and above) show only forming or choppy bearish trends, which may limit follow-through.
▲ RSI oversold could trigger a short-term bounce or consolidation, stalling the decline.
▲ No defined support level increases uncertainty about where the move may pause.
▲ Watch for a break back above 9.01400 resistance, which would invalidate the bearish setup.