LUNC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-14 04:00 UTC 14 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.32 %

Entry

0.00003622

Target

0.00003574 +1.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004058 −12.04 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.05 % per trade 2,355 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,355 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.50 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.74 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 23 % at stop avg −3.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 2 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 2 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Nov 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	3.14
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.68
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.59
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.94
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.17
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.05
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is confirmed across all timeframes, with the strongest trend on the 12h (5/5).
Multiple moving average breakdowns (DEMA, ALMA) and a Bollinger Band retreat signal sustained selling pressure.
The Long Legged Doji at the lows hints at potential indecision, but the overall trend remains firmly bearish.
Watch the 0.00004 resistance as a key level; a failure to reclaim it would reinforce the bearish outlook.

The 4H chart for LUN/CUSDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a breakdown below the DEMA and ALMA, a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band, and a Long Legged Doji candlestick. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to continued downside pressure. The ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggests that the recent volatility spike may be normalizing, but the price remains below key moving averages, reinforcing the bearish bias.

Across timeframes, the trend is uniformly bearish, strengthening from a solid 3/5 on the 15m up to an extremely strong 5/5 on the 12h. This alignment across all monitored timeframes adds conviction to the sell signal. The nearest resistance sits at 0.00004, which now acts as a ceiling; with no defined support below, the path of least resistance is lower. Traders should watch for a rejection at this level to confirm further downside.

Catalysts

▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with very strong or extremely strong scores on 4H and above.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (BBANDS, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, ALMA) all aligning bearish.
▼ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggests the market is moving away from oversold extremes, often a precursor to continued trend moves.
▼ The Long Legged Doji at a low point can signal a pause, but in a strong downtrend it often acts as a continuation pattern.

Risk Factors

▲ The nearest support is undefined, so a sharp bounce could occur if the market finds an unseen floor.
▲ The Long Legged Doji indicates potential indecision; if the next candles close higher, the bearish signal may weaken.
▲ A break back above the 0.00004 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger short covering.
▲ Momentum may be fading as the ZSCORE exits extreme lows, which could lead to a consolidation phase.