PEPE/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-14 04:00 UTC 14 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −11.71 %

Entry

0.000004270

Target

0.000005620 +31.62 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.000003770 −11.71 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.05 % per trade 2,355 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,355 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.50 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.74 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 23 % at stop avg −3.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, RSI OS Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

37.9 % ↓ −1.8 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (3.90) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 8.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 39.9 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 2,330 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for PEPE/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 2 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 2 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Nov 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.98
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.90
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.85
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.49
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.05
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.78
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.74

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold indicators (RSI, STOCH, WILLR) exited oversold, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
A Bullish Harami candlestick pattern and Fibonacci break at 24% add confluence to the buy signal.
The 4H signal is strong (91% probability), but most timeframes are still bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend bounce.
Watch nearest resistance at 0.00001 and support at 0.00000 for confirmation or invalidation.

The 4H signal fires a cluster of bullish reversal indicators after an extended downtrend, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, exits from oversold conditions on RSI, STOCH, and WILLR, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, an ER Level Cross Down, a Fibonacci Break UpTrend at 24%, and a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern. Together, these suggest momentum is shifting from sellers to buyers at the current level, with the Fibonacci retracement break adding a structural layer to the reversal case. However, the broader trend across most timeframes remains bearish, with only the 1D timeframe showing a solid bullish trend, so this signal is best viewed as a potential counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to monitor are nearest resistance at 0.00001 and nearest support at 0.00000. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the reversal and open the path toward higher prices, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup. The confluence of multiple oversold exits and a bullish candlestick pattern increases the probability of a bounce, but the bearish alignment on lower timeframes and the 4H itself warrants caution. Traders should wait for confirmation on higher timeframes or a clear break of resistance before committing to long positions.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of oversold exits across RSI, STOCH, WILLR, plus a STOCHF KD Cross Up.
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick pattern indicates a potential reversal.
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend at 24% suggests a retracement level holding.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up signals buying pressure is gaining strength.

Risk Factors

▼ Overall trend is bearish across most timeframes, which could cap upside or lead to a failed bounce.
▼ If price breaks below nearest support at 0.00000, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ A conflicting higher timeframe (1D is the only bullish one) may limit follow-through.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the bounce fails to clear resistance at 0.00001.