🏭 Commodities

Gold XAU · Forecast & Analysis

Commodities

4,056.49

-1.53 %

7 D · XAU/USD

Updated 10 min ago

Overall assessment · Trend + news, checked against price

▼ Bearish weak Data coverage good

Price -1.53 % 24h · +2.81 % 7dTrend ▼ 5 of 7 timeframesNews ▬ 154 reports, latest 10.11.

News situation · 154 items / 30 D

▬ Neutral weak Data coverage good

5.2 Impact / 10

By source type

News 136 Analyst 12 Release 6

6 of 154 straight from the issuer or regulator

Technicals · trend now

▼ Bearish medium Data coverage medium

5 of 7 timeframes down

0 active signals (0 long / 0 short)

AI-generated · as of November 10, 2026

This text no longer matches the current assessment, so it is hidden.

Overall: Neutral → Bearish
Mid-term: Bullish → Bearish

24 h

-1.53 %

Active signals

0 (0↑ / 0↓)

Technicals

Bearish

News, 30 days

Neutral

Chart

XAU chart by timeframe

Trendlines, support and resistance and patterns come from the newest signal of the selected timeframe.

Loading chart

No signal on this timeframe — price and EMA only.

Outlook

Outlook for Gold

Direction, typical moves and upcoming dates from our own price, news and calendar data, recalculated on every visit. An assessment, not investment advice.

Next 7 days · 4h–8h trend and news

▼ Bearish medium

Data coverage good

60 % technicals 40 % news

Next 4 weeks · 12h–1d trend and news

▬ Neutral weak

Data coverage good

30 % technicals 70 % news

Next 3 months · news of the last 30 days only

▬ Neutral weak

Data coverage good

No price statement: our price history does not reach that far. Based on 154 news items.

Coming up

November 12, 2026, 13:30 US: Jobless claims
November 12, 2026, 17:00 US: EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
November 13, 2026, 13:30 US: Producer prices · expected 0.4%, previous 0.7%

All dates ↓ All times UTC.

Typical move

7 days: typically ±2.0%, strong from ±4.0%, actual +2.8%

30 days: typically ±4.1%, strong from ±8.2%

Economic data for XAU

Full calendar

Recently released

13:30TodayUSDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%since release: −0.44%20 min ago
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%since release: −0.44%20 min ago
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896since release: −0.44%20 min ago
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%since release: −0.44%20 min ago
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%since release: −0.44%20 min ago
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%since release: −0.44%20 min ago
13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298since release: −0.44%20 min ago

Coming up

13:30November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
17:00November 12, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 2 days
13:30November 13, 2026USDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 2 days
13:30November 13, 2026USDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 2 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 6 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 6 days

All times UTC. Assessed against the consensus forecast, otherwise against the previous value. Price reaction measured on XAUUSD.

Technicals

Trend across all eight timeframes

15M Scalping ▼ Bearish Very strong trend ADX 46.7

30M Scalping ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 32.1

1H Intraday ▼ Bearish Trend forming ADX 21.4

2H Intraday ▬ Neutral Choppy / sideways ADX 17.7

4H Swing ▼ Bearish Trend forming ADX 22.8

8H Swing ▼ Bearish Trend forming ADX 26.2

12H Position ▲ Bullish Trend forming ADX 29.0

1D Position – Not enough candles yet

By trading style

What this means for your trading style

Scalping 15m · 30m

▼ Strongly bearish strong Data coverage good

PRO

—

too few comparable cases (0) for a reliable rate

Bearish on the 15- and 30-minute charts, but the very weak trend strength means the intraday drift lower lacks conviction.

Intraday 1h · 2h

▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good

PRO

—

too few comparable cases (0) for a reliable rate

Bearish on the 1- and 2-hour charts as the metal corrects from the $4,150 zone, though the downward pull remains slight.

Swing 4h · 8h

▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good

PRO

—

too few comparable cases (0) for a reliable rate

The text for this card no longer matches its rating, so it is hidden.

Position 12h · 1d

▬ Neutral weak Data coverage good

PRO

—

too few comparable cases (0) for a reliable rate

Neutral on the longer charts: the bigger trend has cooled after the rally and awaits direction from inflation data and the Fed.

Signal history

Both worlds over time

One dot per day and source, 30 days. Technicals: trend across all timeframes at the close of the day. News: net direction of the day.

30 days ago today

Technicals (trend of the day) News signal Size: news = reports that day, technicals = timeframes with data

News, 30 days

What is being reported about XAU

News Bearish Impact 4/10

Bitcoin Slips 1.4% as Traders Price in Fed Rate Hikes for December

Gold fell just over 1% to trade below $4,100 an ounce as traders increased bets on a Federal Reserve rate increase for Dec. 9, following Fed Governor …

November 10, 2026

News Bearish Impact 5/10

Anthropic Retracts IPO Pricing Details After $69.3 Billion Target Emerged

Gold is retreating as traders price in a Fed rate hike for December. Higher expected rates lift yields and the dollar, both headwinds for a non-yieldi…

November 10, 2026

News Bullish Impact 3/10

Silver Rebounds 1.81% but Faces Resistance as Gold/Silver Ratio Holds

Gold rose 1.13% to 4,115.59 with silver's bounce, and the gold/silver ratio's broader structure (higher lows at 52.720 in May, 64.647 in September, ne…

November 10, 2026

News Bullish Impact 4/10

USD Index Consolidates Below 102.00 Ahead of October Inflation Data

Gold extended its bullish action, rising nearly 1.75% to close at $4,140 on Monday after strong gains the previous week, and holds above $4,100 early …

November 10, 2026

News Bullish Impact 2/10

Bitcoin Slips Below $75,000 as Markets Await October US CPI Data

Gold gained traction and traded above $4,050 while Bitcoin declined, supported by easing inflation concerns per the related analysis headline. This is…

November 10, 2026

News Bearish Impact 5/10

Gold Slips From $4,150 as Markets Price 80% Chance of December Fed Hike

Gold is easing from the $4,150 resistance zone as a firming US Dollar and over 80% market-implied odds of a December Fed rate hike pressure bullion. M…

November 10, 2026

Asset Snapshot

📝 Overview Generated automatically

XAU has been the subject of 1121 signals across 1121 articles in the last 365 days. Sentiment skews Bullish (54%).

Breakdown: 610 bullish, 367 bearish, 144 neutral.

Most-cited catalysts: Rising real yields (8×), Dollar weakness (7×), Strengthening of the US dollar (6×). Most-cited risk factors: Continued strength in the US Dollar (6×), Geopolitical tensions boosting safe-haven demand (5×), Strengthening of the US Dollar (5×).

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