News report 🌐 Macro 🌍 Canada

TD Securities Forecasts Bank of Canada Rate Hold at 2.25% Through 2026

TD Securities expects the Bank of Canada to keep rates at 2.25% through 2026, with a move to a neutral 2.75% rate not occurring until 2027.

🕐 1 min read

1 assets impacted (Forex). Net bias: 0 Bullish, 0 Bearish, 1 Neutral. Strongest signal: CAD → 3/10 (35% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (1)

CAD
Neutral 🤖 35%
📆 Mid-term 🌍 CA ✨ Inferred

TD Securities expects the Bank of Canada to hold rates at 2.25% through 2026, which supports a stable Canadian dollar.

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • Bank of Canada overnight rate expected to remain at 2.25% through 2026.
  • Neutral rate of 2.75% projected for 2027.
  • TD Securities outlook suggests extended monetary policy stability.

📝 Executive Summary

TD Securities economists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence project the Bank of Canada will maintain the overnight rate at 2.25% for the next two years. The firm anticipates a shift toward a neutral 2.75% rate only by 2027, signaling a prolonged period of monetary stability.

❓ FAQ

What is the long-term interest rate outlook from TD Securities?

TD Securities expects the Bank of Canada to hold the overnight rate at 2.25% until 2026, followed by a hike to 2.75% in 2027.