Analyst report 📈 Stocks 🌍 United States

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Recover 3% and 5% Following Midterm Election Selloff

US equities show resilience as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq recover from post-election losses, though Rabobank cautions that structural AI infrastructure risks and manufacturing challenges remain.

🕐 1 min read

2 assets impacted (Stocks). Net bias: 0 Bullish, 0 Bearish, 2 Neutral. Strongest signal: SPX → 3/10 (55% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (2)

SPX
Neutral 🤖 55%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

The S&P 500 has already recovered about 3% of its 4.4% post-Midterm election drop and sits back at pre-November 4 levels, so the rebound is largely priced in. Rabobank warns structural risks to the US AI infrastructure buildout remain and notes the US manufacturing gap with China is harder to close, arguing against further upside momentum.

Catalysts
  • • S&P 500 rebounded about 3% back to pre-November 4 levels after the 4.4% one-day post-election drop
Risk Factors
  • • Rabobank cautions structural risks to the US AI infrastructure buildout persist
  • • US reindustrialization set back, widening the manufacturing gap with China
NDX
Neutral 🤖 55%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

The Nasdaq gained 5% over the past two sessions, lifted by an 11% rise in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index despite negative headlines around Jensen Huang. The sharp rebound is already behind it, and Rabobank's caution that AI infrastructure buildout risks persist limits the case for continued gains.

Catalysts
  • • Nasdaq rose 5% over two sessions on the recovery
  • • Philadelphia Semiconductor Index climbed more than 11%
Risk Factors
  • • Rabobank warns risks facing the US AI infrastructure buildout remain
  • • Unfortunate headlines surrounding Jensen Huang cited as a negative

🧭 Full analysis of these assets

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • The S&P 500 recovered 3% to return to pre-November 4 levels following a 4.4% one-day post-election decline.
  • The Nasdaq rose 5% over two sessions, supported by an 11% gain in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.
  • Rabobank identifies persistent structural risks to the US AI infrastructure buildout.
  • The US manufacturing gap with China remains difficult to close, hindering reindustrialization efforts.

📝 Executive Summary

The S&P 500 has regained 3% to reach pre-November 4 levels after a 4.4% post-election drop. Simultaneously, the Nasdaq climbed 5% over two sessions, bolstered by an 11% surge in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. Despite these gains, Rabobank analysts warn that structural risks to US AI infrastructure and a widening manufacturing gap with China persist.

❓ FAQ

SPX · Has the S&P 500 fully recovered from the post-election selloff?

It has regained about 3%, returning to pre-November 4 levels after the 4.4% one-day drop, but Rabobank warns the structural risks behind the selloff remain.

NDX · Why did the Nasdaq rebound faster than the S&P 500?

The Nasdaq gained 5% over two sessions, supported by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising more than 11%, even as Rabobank kept a cautious stance on AI infrastructure risks.